Melbourne Victory - Sydney FC: our prediction
02/05/2026•11:40
Melbourne Victory
0:1
(0:0)
Finished
Sydney FC
-
1
-
X
-
2
Melbourne Victory vs Sydney FC Preview — A-League Men Playoff
Melbourne Victory faces Sydney FC in the A-League Men Playoff. Melbourne Victory is the favorite with odds of 1.99. Statistics show that Melbourne Victory tends to score (80% 'Both teams score' in their last 10 matches), while Sydney FC struggles away from home (0 wins in their last 10 away games).
Our Melbourne Victory vs Sydney FC predictions
Both teams score
Melbourne Victory has seen both teams score in 80% of their last 10 matches, showing an effective attack but a leaky defense. Sydney FC, although weak away, has scored in 70% of their away games, making a goal from both sides likely.
1.54
Confidence
High (65 %)
1.5 (Over goals per match)
Melbourne Victory has gone over 1.5 goals in 90% of their last 10 matches, while Sydney FC has done so in 50%. Combined with Melbourne's tendency to score and concede, this match should see at least 2 goals.
1.17
Confidence
High (65 %)
Win
Melbourne Victory is the favorite with odds of 1.99 and plays at home. Although Sydney FC is struggling away (0 wins in their last 10 away games), Melbourne has only won 40% of their last 10 matches, making the win likely but not certain.
1.85
Confidence
Medium (50 %)
Market signals on Melbourne Victory vs Sydney FC
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Melbourne Victory vs Sydney FC Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 5 1 | 3 5 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 86% | 75% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 50% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 33% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 33% |
Win by being a favorite | 43% | 38% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 100% | 100% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 33% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 33% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 10% 90% | 50% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 80% 20% | 40% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 100% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 0% |
2nd half | 40% | 70% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 60% 40% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 60% 40% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 70% 30% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 30% 70% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Nduka | 30% (3/10) | 20% (2/10) | Benjamin Garuccio |
| Juan Mata | 38% (3/8) | 22% (2/9) | Apostolos Stamatelopoulos |
| Clarismario Rodrigus | 22% (2/9) | 10% (1/10) | Piero Quispe |
| Nikolaos Vergos | 20% (2/10) | 17% (1/6) | Alhassan Toure |
| Nishan Velupillay | 20% (2/10) | 13% (1/8) | Rhys Youlley |
| Denis Genreau | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Patrick Wood |
| Franco Lino | 17% (1/6) | 13% (1/8) | Victor Campuzano |
| Sebastian Esposito | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Tiago Quintal |
| Keegan Jelacic | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Alexandar Popovic |
| Jason Davidson | 13% (1/8) | 10% (1/10) | Rhyan Grant |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Mata | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽2 | Apostolos Stamatelopoulos |
| Charles Nduka | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽2 | Benjamin Garuccio |
| Clarismario Rodrigus | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Tiago Quintal |
| Nishan Velupillay | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Patrick Wood |
| Nikolaos Vergos | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Rhyan Grant |
| Keegan Jelacic | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Piero Quispe |
| Jason Davidson | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Alhassan Toure |
| Franco Lino | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Victor Campuzano |
| Sebastian Esposito | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Alexandar Popovic |
| Denis Genreau | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Rhys Youlley |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 80% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 80% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 80% | 50% |
Over corners 9.5 | 60% | 30% |
Over corners 10.5 | 40% | 20% |
Over corners 11.5 | 40% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 30% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 100% | 80% |
Over corners 3.5 | 90% | 80% |
Over corners 4.5 | 80% | 30% |
Over corners 5.5 | 60% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 50% | 10% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 100% |
1.5 | 70% | 30% |
2.5 | 30% | 20% |
3.5 | 10% | 10% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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