Atlas - Cruz Azul: our prediction
03/05/2026•05:15
Atlas
2:3
(0:1)
Finished
Cruz Azul
-
1
-
X
-
2
Atlas vs Cruz Azul Preview — Liga MX Clausura Playoff
Atlas hosts Cruz Azul for a Liga MX Clausura Playoff match. Cruz Azul is the favorite with odds of 1.76, while Atlas is the underdog at 4.00. Cruz Azul has a very strong recent form with 90% of their matches seeing both teams score, while Atlas struggles at home.
Our Atlas vs Cruz Azul predictions
Both teams score
Cruz Azul has seen both teams score in 90% of their last 10 matches, while Atlas has done so in 40%. Atlas's defense is fragile (5 clean sheets in 10 matches), and Cruz Azul has not kept a clean sheet in any of their last 10 matches. Cruz Azul's offensive statistics (9/10 matches with over 1.5 goals) and Atlas's tendency to concede (5/10 matches without a clean sheet) make this bet very likely.
2.02
Confidence
Very high
Over 1.5 goals in the match
Cruz Azul has exceeded 1.5 goals in 100% of their last 10 matches, while Atlas has done so in 50%. Cruz Azul's offensive trend is overwhelming, and Atlas's defense is porous. Combined with the fact that both teams often score, this match should see at least 2 goals.
1.4
Confidence
Very high
Under 3.5 goals in the match
Although Cruz Azul is offensive, Atlas tends to play low-scoring matches: 90% of their last 10 matches had under 3.5 goals. Cruz Azul is at 80% in this statistic. Combined with Atlas's tendency to score few goals (only 1 goal per game on average), the total goals should remain under 4.
1.18
Confidence
High
Market signals on Atlas vs Cruz Azul
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Atlas vs Cruz Azul Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 3 4 3 | 1 7 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 89% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 25% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 100% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 67% | 11% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 57% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 14% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 14% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 50% 50% | 100% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 40% 60% | 90% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 60% 40% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 40% 60% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 10% 90% | 60% 40% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 50% |
2nd half | 40% | 20% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Arturo Gonzalez | 22% (2/9) | 20% (2/10) | Jose Paradela |
| Manuel Capasso | 10% (1/10) | 22% (2/9) | Jeremy Marquez |
| Victor Rios | 11% (1/9) | 20% (2/10) | Agustin Palavecino |
| Aldo Rocha | 10% (1/10) | 25% (2/8) | Gabriel Fernandez |
| Paulo Ramirez | 10% (1/10) | 20% (2/10) | Carlos Rodolfo Rotondi |
20% (2/10) | Christian Ebere | ||
10% (1/10) | Luka Romero | ||
10% (1/10) | Carlos Rodriguez | ||
11% (1/9) | Andres Montano |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Arturo Gonzalez | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Christian Ebere |
| Manuel Capasso | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Gabriel Fernandez |
| Paulo Ramirez | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Jose Paradela |
| Aldo Rocha | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Agustin Palavecino |
| Victor Rios | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Jeremy Marquez |
⚽⚽2 | Carlos Rodolfo Rotondi | ||
⚽1 | Luka Romero | ||
⚽1 | Andres Montano | ||
⚽1 | Carlos Rodriguez |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 80% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 80% | 80% |
Over corners 8.5 | 70% | 80% |
Over corners 9.5 | 40% | 60% |
Over corners 10.5 | 30% | 40% |
Over corners 11.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 3.5 | 50% | 70% |
Over corners 4.5 | 20% | 40% |
Over corners 5.5 | 10% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 30% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 100% |
1.5 | 90% | 60% |
2.5 | 50% | 20% |
3.5 | 20% | 10% |
4.5 | 0% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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