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Auckland FC - Adelaide United: our prediction

09/05/2026•08:00

Auckland FC

1:1

(1:0)

Finished

Adelaide United

Auckland FC vs Adelaide United Preview — A-League Men Playoff

Auckland FC, favorites at home, face Adelaide United in the A-League Men Playoffs. Auckland has a 30% win rate in their last 10 matches, while Adelaide United has a 50% rate. Both teams have a strong tendency to score, with 'Both teams to score' succeeding in 70% of Auckland's matches and 90% of Adelaide's.

Our Auckland FC vs Adelaide United predictions

Both teams to score

Adelaide United has an overwhelming tendency to score, with 'Both teams to score' succeeding in 90% of their last 10 matches. Auckland FC is not far behind at 70%. Both attacks are in form, and defenses are leaky, with Auckland keeping a clean sheet only 2 times and Adelaide 1 time in the same period. The odds reflect a high probability.

1.57

Confidence

Very high (80 %)

Over 1.5 goals in the match

Both teams have a very strong tendency to see over 1.5 goals in their matches. Auckland FC has exceeded this threshold in 90% of their last 10 matches, and Adelaide United in 100%! Combined with the high probability of both teams scoring, this bet is extremely solid. The odds are attractive.

1.2

Confidence

Very high (80 %)

Draw

Although Auckland FC is the favorite, their recent record is mixed with 5 draws in their last 10 matches. Adelaide United also drew 5 times in the same period. Both teams seem fairly balanced, and a draw is a perfectly plausible result. The high odds of 3.6 offer good value for this moderate-risk bet.

3.48

Confidence

Medium (50 %)

Market signals on Auckland FC vs Adelaide United

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Auckland FC vs Adelaide United Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Auckland FC	Adelaide United
Win	3 5 2	5 5
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	78%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	67%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	50%	0%
Win by being a favorite	33%	40%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	100%	100%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	60%
Win by being an outsider	0%	60%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	20% 80%	10% 90%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	70% 30%	90% 70%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	40% 60%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	60% 40%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	50% 50%	40% 60%
Leading at half-time	30% 70%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	40%	20%
2nd half	20%	40%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	90% 10%	100%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	70% 30%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	40% 60%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	90% 10%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	60% 40%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	20% 80%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Sam Cosgrove	40% (4/10)	33% (3/9)	Luka Jovanovic
Jake Girdwood-Reich	22% (2/9)	20% (2/10)	Panagiotis Kikianis
Lachlan Brook	20% (2/10)	20% (2/10)	Ethan Alagich
Guillermo May	29% (2/7)	10% (1/10)	Yaya Dukuly
Daniel Hall	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Juan Muniz
Liam Gillion	13% (1/8)	13% (1/8)	Anselmo
Logan Rogerson	10% (1/10)	33% (1/3)	Harry Crawford
Luis Gallegos	14% (1/7)	10% (1/10)	Ryan White
Nando Pijnaker	17% (1/6)
Cameron Howieson	10% (1/10)
Hiroki Sakai	13% (1/8)
Jake Brimmer	33% (1/3)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Sam Cosgrove	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	Luka Jovanovic
Guillermo May	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽2	Ethan Alagich
Lachlan Brook	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Anselmo
Jake Girdwood-Reich	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Panagiotis Kikianis
Luis Gallegos	⚽1	⚽1	Yaya Dukuly
Nando Pijnaker	⚽1	⚽1	Ryan White
Daniel Hall	⚽1	⚽1	Juan Muniz
Liam Gillion	⚽1	⚽1	Harry Crawford
Hiroki Sakai	⚽1
Jake Brimmer	⚽1
Logan Rogerson	⚽1
Cameron Howieson	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	100%	90%
Over corners 7.5	80%	70%
Over corners 8.5	60%	60%
Over corners 9.5	60%	60%
Over corners 10.5	50%	60%
Over corners 11.5	40%	40%
Over corners 12.5	30%	40%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	90%	90%
Over corners 3.5	70%	90%
Over corners 4.5	70%	80%
Over corners 5.5	70%	70%
Over corners 6.5	40%	50%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	70%	80%
1.5	60%	50%
2.5	30%	20%
3.5	20%	0%
4.5	10%	0%
5.5	10%	0%

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