Auckland FC - Adelaide United: our prediction
09/05/2026•08:00
Auckland FC
1:1
(1:0)
Finished
Adelaide United
-
1
-
X
-
2
Auckland FC vs Adelaide United Preview — A-League Men Playoff
Auckland FC, favorites at home, face Adelaide United in the A-League Men Playoffs. Auckland has a 30% win rate in their last 10 matches, while Adelaide United has a 50% rate. Both teams have a strong tendency to score, with 'Both teams to score' succeeding in 70% of Auckland's matches and 90% of Adelaide's.
Our Auckland FC vs Adelaide United predictions
Both teams to score
Adelaide United has an overwhelming tendency to score, with 'Both teams to score' succeeding in 90% of their last 10 matches. Auckland FC is not far behind at 70%. Both attacks are in form, and defenses are leaky, with Auckland keeping a clean sheet only 2 times and Adelaide 1 time in the same period. The odds reflect a high probability.
1.57
Confidence
Very high (80 %)
Over 1.5 goals in the match
Both teams have a very strong tendency to see over 1.5 goals in their matches. Auckland FC has exceeded this threshold in 90% of their last 10 matches, and Adelaide United in 100%! Combined with the high probability of both teams scoring, this bet is extremely solid. The odds are attractive.
1.2
Confidence
Very high (80 %)
Draw
Although Auckland FC is the favorite, their recent record is mixed with 5 draws in their last 10 matches. Adelaide United also drew 5 times in the same period. Both teams seem fairly balanced, and a draw is a perfectly plausible result. The high odds of 3.6 offer good value for this moderate-risk bet.
3.48
Confidence
Medium (50 %)
Market signals on Auckland FC vs Adelaide United
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Auckland FC vs Adelaide United Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 3 5 2 | 5 5 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 78% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 67% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 33% | 40% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 100% | 100% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 60% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 60% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 70% 30% | 90% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 20% |
2nd half | 20% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 70% 30% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Cosgrove | 40% (4/10) | 33% (3/9) | Luka Jovanovic |
| Jake Girdwood-Reich | 22% (2/9) | 20% (2/10) | Panagiotis Kikianis |
| Lachlan Brook | 20% (2/10) | 20% (2/10) | Ethan Alagich |
| Guillermo May | 29% (2/7) | 10% (1/10) | Yaya Dukuly |
| Daniel Hall | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Juan Muniz |
| Liam Gillion | 13% (1/8) | 13% (1/8) | Anselmo |
| Logan Rogerson | 10% (1/10) | 33% (1/3) | Harry Crawford |
| Luis Gallegos | 14% (1/7) | 10% (1/10) | Ryan White |
| Nando Pijnaker | 17% (1/6) | ||
| Cameron Howieson | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Hiroki Sakai | 13% (1/8) | ||
| Jake Brimmer | 33% (1/3) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Cosgrove | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Luka Jovanovic |
| Guillermo May | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽2 | Ethan Alagich |
| Lachlan Brook | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Anselmo |
| Jake Girdwood-Reich | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Panagiotis Kikianis |
| Luis Gallegos | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Yaya Dukuly |
| Nando Pijnaker | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Ryan White |
| Daniel Hall | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Juan Muniz |
| Liam Gillion | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Harry Crawford |
| Hiroki Sakai | ⚽1 | ||
| Jake Brimmer | ⚽1 | ||
| Logan Rogerson | ⚽1 | ||
| Cameron Howieson | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 100% | 90% |
Over corners 7.5 | 80% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 60% | 60% |
Over corners 9.5 | 60% | 60% |
Over corners 10.5 | 50% | 60% |
Over corners 11.5 | 40% | 40% |
Over corners 12.5 | 30% | 40% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 90% | 90% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 90% |
Over corners 4.5 | 70% | 80% |
Over corners 5.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 6.5 | 40% | 50% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 70% | 80% |
1.5 | 60% | 50% |
2.5 | 30% | 20% |
3.5 | 20% | 0% |
4.5 | 10% | 0% |
5.5 | 10% | 0% |
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