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Rosario Central - Independiente: our prediction

10/05/2026•20:00

Rosario Central

3:1

(1:1)

Finished

Independiente

Rosario Central vs Independiente Preview — Liga Profesional Apertura Playoff

Rosario Central, the favorite, faces Independiente in the Liga Profesional Apertura Playoff. Rosario Central shows solid home form with a 60% win rate in their last 10 matches, while Independiente has a more mixed record. Statistics indicate a trend towards goals, especially for Independiente who have seen both teams score in 70% of their matches.

Our Rosario Central vs Independiente predictions

Rosario Central to Win

Rosario Central is the favorite with odds of 2.15. In their last 10 matches, the team has won 6 times (60%), including 6 out of 7 when favored. At home, their form is solid. Independiente has a 50% win rate over the same period but has shown defensive weaknesses, keeping a clean sheet only twice in 10 matches. The trend favors Rosario Central for the win.

2.01

Confidence

High (65 %)

Both Teams to Score

Both teams have shown a strong tendency to score and concede goals. Rosario Central has seen both teams score in 50% of their matches, while Independiente has a 70% rate for the same indicator. Additionally, Rosario Central kept a clean sheet only 4 times in 10 matches, and Independiente only twice. Offensive statistics are also good on both sides, with players like Copetti (4 goals) for Rosario and Avalos (6 goals) for Independiente.

2.13

Confidence

High (65 %)

Over 2.5 Goals in the Match

Statistics show a moderate trend towards goals. Rosario Central has seen over 2.5 goals in 50% of their matches, and Independiente in 60%. Combined with the both teams to score (BTS) trend, this bet is consistent. However, caution is advised as Rosario Central also has 50% of their matches under 2.5 goals. The presence of in-form attackers like Copetti and Avalos increases the chances of an open game.

2.5

Confidence

Medium (50 %)

Market signals on Rosario Central vs Independiente

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Rosario Central vs Independiente Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Rosario Central	Independiente
Win	6 2 2	5 2 3
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	100%	75%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	50%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	100%	50%
Win by being a favorite	86%	63%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	33%	50%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	0%
Win by being an outsider	0%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	40% 60%	20% 80%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	50% 50%	70% 50%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	50% 50%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	60% 40%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	70% 30%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	100%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	30% 70%	50% 50%
Leading at half-time	40% 60%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	20%	30%
2nd half	50%	40%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	70% 30%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	50% 50%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	10% 90%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	100%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	80% 20%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	40% 60%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	10% 90%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Angel Di Maria	33% (3/9)	44% (4/9)	Gabriel Avalos
Alejo Veliz	22% (2/9)	33% (3/9)	Maximiliano Gutierrez
Ignacio Ovando	20% (2/10)	38% (3/8)	Matias Abaldo
Vicente Pizarro	22% (2/9)	13% (1/8)	Felipe Tempone
Enzo Copetti	20% (2/10)	11% (1/9)	Facundo Valdez
Marco Ruben	20% (1/5)	14% (1/7)	Santiago Gabriel Montiel
Julian Fernandez	17% (1/6)	25% (1/4)	Ignacio Pussetto
Alexis Soto	10% (1/10)	11% (1/9)	Luciano Cabral
Gaston Avila	13% (1/8)	11% (1/9)	Lautaro Millan
Giovanni Cantizano	11% (1/9)
Elias Veron	14% (1/7)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Angel Di Maria	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Gabriel Avalos
Enzo Copetti	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽3	Matias Abaldo
Alejo Veliz	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽3	Maximiliano Gutierrez
Ignacio Ovando	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Ignacio Pussetto
Vicente Pizarro	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Santiago Gabriel Montiel
Elias Veron	⚽1	⚽1	Felipe Tempone
Marco Ruben	⚽1	⚽1	Facundo Valdez
Alexis Soto	⚽1	⚽1	Luciano Cabral
Giovanni Cantizano	⚽1	⚽1	Lautaro Millan
Julian Fernandez	⚽1
Gaston Avila	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	80%	80%
Over corners 7.5	70%	80%
Over corners 8.5	70%	80%
Over corners 9.5	50%	70%
Over corners 10.5	50%	50%
Over corners 11.5	30%	10%
Over corners 12.5	20%	10%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	100%	90%
Over corners 3.5	70%	70%
Over corners 4.5	50%	60%
Over corners 5.5	20%	60%
Over corners 6.5	10%	30%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	100%	90%
1.5	80%	70%
2.5	40%	40%
3.5	10%	0%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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