Rugby

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Nacional - Cerro: our prediction

11/05/2026•00:30

Nacional

4:0

(2:0)

Finished

Cerro

Nacional vs Cerro Preview — Liga AUF Uruguaya Apertura

Nacional, the favorite, faces Cerro in the Liga AUF Uruguaya Apertura. Nacional has shown very offensive recent form, with 80% of their matches seeing both teams score and 80% with over 2.5 goals. Cerro, on the other hand, struggles offensively, but Nacional regularly concedes goals.

Our Nacional vs Cerro predictions

Over 2.5 goals

This bet is also very solid. Nacional has seen over 2.5 goals in 80% of their last 10 matches. Combined with the fact that both teams often score, the total goals should exceed 2.5. Cerro has also shown a tendency to concede multiple goals in their away matches.

1.76

Confidence

Very high (80 %)

Both teams to score

This bet is very solid. Nacional has seen both teams score in 80% of their last 10 matches. Furthermore, Nacional has not kept a clean sheet in any of their last 10 matches. Cerro also tends to concede goals. Nacional's offensive statistics and the defensive weaknesses on both sides make this bet very likely.

Confidence

Very high (80 %)

Nacional Victory

Nacional is the logical favorite with odds of 1.35. In their last 10 matches, Nacional won 3 times and only lost 4 times as a favorite. Cerro has lost 6 of their last 10 matches. Nacional's offensive form and Cerro's defensive struggles make a Nacional victory very likely.

1.36

Confidence

High (65 %)

Market signals on Nacional vs Cerro

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Nacional vs Cerro Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Nacional	Cerro
Win	3 1 6	2 2 6
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	50%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	75%	0%
Win by being a favorite	50%	0%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	25%	44%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	22%
Win by being an outsider	0%	22%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	100%	20% 80%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	80% 20%	40% 80%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	60% 40%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	60% 40%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	70% 30%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	20% 80%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	50% 50%	20% 80%
Leading at half-time	20% 80%	100%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	30%	20%
2nd half	50%	70%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	90% 10%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	80% 20%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	60% 40%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	40% 60%	100%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	80% 20%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	60% 40%	100%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	30% 70%	100%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Maximiliano Gomez	100% (5/5)
Agustin Rogel	50% (2/4)
Maximiliano Silvera	67% (2/3)
Pavel Nunez	25% (1/4)
Tomas Veron	25% (1/4)
Juan Cruz De Los Santos	25% (1/4)
Camilo Candido	25% (1/4)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Maximiliano Gomez	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽8	⚽⚽2	Alejo Macelli
Agustin Rogel	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Brahian Aleman
Maximiliano Silvera	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Augusto Cambon
Tomas Veron	⚽1	⚽1	Matias Ocampo
Pavel Nunez	⚽1
Juan Cruz De Los Santos	⚽1
Camilo Candido	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	88%	0%
Over corners 7.5	88%	0%
Over corners 8.5	75%	0%
Over corners 9.5	75%	0%
Over corners 10.5	75%	0%
Over corners 11.5	63%	0%
Over corners 12.5	38%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	40%	0%
Over corners 3.5	30%	0%
Over corners 4.5	30%	0%
Over corners 5.5	20%	0%
Over corners 6.5	10%	0%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	40%	0%
1.5	40%	0%
2.5	20%	0%
3.5	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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