Nacional - Cerro: our prediction
11/05/2026•00:30
Nacional
4:0
(2:0)
Finished
Cerro
-
1
-
X
-
2
Nacional vs Cerro Preview — Liga AUF Uruguaya Apertura
Nacional, the favorite, faces Cerro in the Liga AUF Uruguaya Apertura. Nacional has shown very offensive recent form, with 80% of their matches seeing both teams score and 80% with over 2.5 goals. Cerro, on the other hand, struggles offensively, but Nacional regularly concedes goals.
Our Nacional vs Cerro predictions
Over 2.5 goals
This bet is also very solid. Nacional has seen over 2.5 goals in 80% of their last 10 matches. Combined with the fact that both teams often score, the total goals should exceed 2.5. Cerro has also shown a tendency to concede multiple goals in their away matches.
1.76
Confidence
Very high (80 %)
Both teams to score
This bet is very solid. Nacional has seen both teams score in 80% of their last 10 matches. Furthermore, Nacional has not kept a clean sheet in any of their last 10 matches. Cerro also tends to concede goals. Nacional's offensive statistics and the defensive weaknesses on both sides make this bet very likely.
2
Confidence
Very high (80 %)
Nacional Victory
Nacional is the logical favorite with odds of 1.35. In their last 10 matches, Nacional won 3 times and only lost 4 times as a favorite. Cerro has lost 6 of their last 10 matches. Nacional's offensive form and Cerro's defensive struggles make a Nacional victory very likely.
1.36
Confidence
High (65 %)
Market signals on Nacional vs Cerro
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Nacional vs Cerro Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 3 1 6 | 2 2 6 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 50% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 75% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 50% | 0% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 25% | 44% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 22% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 22% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 100% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 80% 20% | 40% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 60% 40% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 20% |
2nd half | 50% | 70% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 80% 20% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 60% 40% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 40% 60% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 60% 40% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 30% 70% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Maximiliano Gomez | 100% (5/5) | ||
| Agustin Rogel | 50% (2/4) | ||
| Maximiliano Silvera | 67% (2/3) | ||
| Pavel Nunez | 25% (1/4) | ||
| Tomas Veron | 25% (1/4) | ||
| Juan Cruz De Los Santos | 25% (1/4) | ||
| Camilo Candido | 25% (1/4) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Maximiliano Gomez | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽8 | ⚽⚽2 | Alejo Macelli |
| Agustin Rogel | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Brahian Aleman |
| Maximiliano Silvera | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Augusto Cambon |
| Tomas Veron | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Matias Ocampo |
| Pavel Nunez | ⚽1 | ||
| Juan Cruz De Los Santos | ⚽1 | ||
| Camilo Candido | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 88% | 0% |
Over corners 7.5 | 88% | 0% |
Over corners 8.5 | 75% | 0% |
Over corners 9.5 | 75% | 0% |
Over corners 10.5 | 75% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 63% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 38% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 40% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 30% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 30% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 20% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 40% | 0% |
1.5 | 40% | 0% |
2.5 | 20% | 0% |
3.5 | 0% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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