Tolima - Deportivo Pasto: our prediction
10/05/2026•01:10
Tolima
1:0
(1:0)
Finished
Deportivo Pasto
-
1
-
X
-
2
Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto Preview — Primera A Apertura Final Stage
Tolima hosts Deportivo Pasto in the Primera A Apertura Final Stage. Tolima, the favorite with odds of 2.15, has a 30% win rate in their last 10 games, while Pasto, the underdog at 3.4, has won 5 of their last 10. Both teams have shown a tendency to score, with Pasto having 60% of matches with 'Both teams to score'. The match promises to be tight.
Our Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto predictions
Over 1.5 goals in the match
Tolima has seen over 1.5 goals in 70% of their last 10 matches, and Deportivo Pasto in 80%. Both teams have a strong tendency to score and concede, making this bet very likely. The odds reflect this probability.
1.36
Confidence
High (65%)
Under 3.5 goals in the match
Tolima has seen under 3.5 goals in 60% of their last 10 matches, and Deportivo Pasto in 70%. Both teams tend to play low-scoring games, making this bet very likely. Combined with the 'Over 1.5 goals' bet, the total score should be between 2 and 3 goals.
1.22
Confidence
High (65%)
Both teams to score
Although Tolima has seen both teams score in only 40% of their matches, Deportivo Pasto has a rate of 60%. Pasto's offensive tendency and Tolima's leaky defense (6 out of 10 games without a clean sheet) make this scenario plausible. However, Tolima's recent form is mixed.
2.01
Confidence
Medium (50%)
Market signals on Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 3 3 | 5 1 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 80% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 67% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 67% |
Win by being a favorite | 67% | 80% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 25% | 40% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 20% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 20% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 50% |
2nd half | 40% | 30% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Sandoval | 100% (3/3) | ||
| Jersson Gonzalez | 75% (3/4) | ||
| Adrian Parra | 25% (1/4) | ||
| Juan Pablo Torres | 25% (1/4) | ||
| Ever Valencia | 25% (1/4) | ||
| Jherson Mosquera | 25% (1/4) | ||
| Sebastian Guzman | 25% (1/4) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Jersson Gonzalez | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Andrey Estupinan |
| Luis Sandoval | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽1 | Diego Chavez |
| Jherson Mosquera | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Wilson Morelo |
| Sebastian Guzman | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Mateo Garavito |
| Adrian Parra | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Santiago Cordoba |
| Ever Valencia | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Mayer Gil |
| Juan Pablo Torres | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Jonathan Perlaza |
⚽1 | Enrique Serje | ||
⚽1 | Johan Caicedo |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 75% | 0% |
Over corners 7.5 | 75% | 0% |
Over corners 8.5 | 50% | 0% |
Over corners 9.5 | 50% | 0% |
Over corners 10.5 | 25% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 25% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 25% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 20% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 20% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 20% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 30% | 0% |
1.5 | 20% | 0% |
2.5 | 20% | 0% |
3.5 | 10% | 0% |
4.5 | 10% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Betting actions
Manage your bets and alerts
TODAY'S OFFERS
Exclusive new customer offers