Rugby

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Leones - Independiente Medellin: our prediction

30/05/2026•01:00

Leones

1:1

(1:1)

Finished

Independiente Medellin

Leones vs Independiente Medellin Preview — Cup Grp. C

Leones faces Independiente Medellin in a Cup Grp. C match. Statistics show Independiente Medellin is in better form with 6 wins in their last 10 matches, while Leones has only 2. Medellin also has a better defense, with 6 clean sheets compared to Leones' 4. Both teams tend to score few goals, with a high probability of under 2.5 goals.

Our Leones vs Independiente Medellin predictions

Independiente Medellin wins

Independiente Medellin is in much better form than Leones, with 6 wins compared to 2 in the last 10 matches. Medellin also has a better defense (6 clean sheets) and a more effective attack (8 matches with over 0.5 goals). Leones, on the other hand, has lost 6 of their last 10 matches. Medellin is the favorite and should win.

1.67

Confidence

High (65 %)

Leones - Under 1.5 goals

Leones has a very weak attack, with only 1 match in 10 where they scored more than 1.5 goals. Their 'underparou15' indicator is at 90%, meaning in 9 out of 10 matches they score less than 1.5 goals. Against a solid Medellin defense, it is very likely that Leones will not score more than one goal.

1.25

Confidence

High (65 %)

Under 2.5 goals

Both teams show a tendency to play low-scoring matches. Leones has seen under 2.5 goals in 50% of their matches, and Independiente Medellin in 80%. Medellin's defense is solid (6 clean sheets), and Leones' attack is weak (only 5 matches with over 0.5 goals). The match promises to be tight and low-scoring.

1.85

Confidence

High (65 %)

Market signals on Leones vs Independiente Medellin

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Leones vs Independiente Medellin Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Leones	Independiente Medellin
Win	2 2 6	6 2 2
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	100%	86%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	75%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	100%	50%
Win by being a favorite	100%	71%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	25%	67%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	33%
Win by being an outsider	0%	33%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	40% 60%	60% 40%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	30% 70%	30% 30%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	30% 70%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	20% 80%	50% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	70% 30%	60% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	100%	10% 80%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	20% 80%	20% 70%
Leading at half-time	10% 90%	40% 60%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	40%	40%
2nd half	40%	50%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	60% 40%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	50% 50%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	50% 50%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
		75% (3/4)	Francisco Fydriszewski
		25% (1/4)	Alexis Serna
		25% (1/4)	Yony Gonzalez
		25% (1/4)	Baldomero Perlaza
		50% (1/2)	Diego Moreno

Total goals per player

	1	2
		⚽⚽⚽3	Francisco Fydriszewski
		⚽1	Diego Moreno
		⚽1	Alexis Serna
		⚽1	Yony Gonzalez
		⚽1	Baldomero Perlaza

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	0%	67%
Over corners 7.5	0%	50%
Over corners 8.5	0%	33%
Over corners 9.5	0%	33%
Over corners 10.5	0%	33%
Over corners 11.5	0%	33%
Over corners 12.5	0%	17%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	0%	30%
Over corners 3.5	0%	20%
Over corners 4.5	0%	20%
Over corners 5.5	0%	10%
Over corners 6.5	0%	0%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	0%	30%
1.5	0%	30%
2.5	0%	20%
3.5	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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