Leones - Independiente Medellin: our prediction
30/05/2026•01:00
Leones
1:1
(1:1)
Finished
Independiente Medellin
-
1
-
X
-
2
Leones vs Independiente Medellin Preview — Cup Grp. C
Leones faces Independiente Medellin in a Cup Grp. C match. Statistics show Independiente Medellin is in better form with 6 wins in their last 10 matches, while Leones has only 2. Medellin also has a better defense, with 6 clean sheets compared to Leones' 4. Both teams tend to score few goals, with a high probability of under 2.5 goals.
Our Leones vs Independiente Medellin predictions
Independiente Medellin wins
Independiente Medellin is in much better form than Leones, with 6 wins compared to 2 in the last 10 matches. Medellin also has a better defense (6 clean sheets) and a more effective attack (8 matches with over 0.5 goals). Leones, on the other hand, has lost 6 of their last 10 matches. Medellin is the favorite and should win.
1.67
Confidence
High (65 %)
Leones - Under 1.5 goals
Leones has a very weak attack, with only 1 match in 10 where they scored more than 1.5 goals. Their 'underparou15' indicator is at 90%, meaning in 9 out of 10 matches they score less than 1.5 goals. Against a solid Medellin defense, it is very likely that Leones will not score more than one goal.
1.25
Confidence
High (65 %)
Under 2.5 goals
Both teams show a tendency to play low-scoring matches. Leones has seen under 2.5 goals in 50% of their matches, and Independiente Medellin in 80%. Medellin's defense is solid (6 clean sheets), and Leones' attack is weak (only 5 matches with over 0.5 goals). The match promises to be tight and low-scoring.
1.85
Confidence
High (65 %)
Market signals on Leones vs Independiente Medellin
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Leones vs Independiente Medellin Statistics
Win
Win | 2 2 6 | 6 2 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 86% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 75% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 100% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite | 100% | 71% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 25% | 67% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 33% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 33% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 30% 70% | 30% 30% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 20% 80% | 50% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 60% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 10% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 20% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 10% 90% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 40% |
2nd half | 40% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
75% (3/4) | Francisco Fydriszewski | ||
25% (1/4) | Alexis Serna | ||
25% (1/4) | Yony Gonzalez | ||
25% (1/4) | Baldomero Perlaza | ||
50% (1/2) | Diego Moreno |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
⚽⚽⚽3 | Francisco Fydriszewski | ||
⚽1 | Diego Moreno | ||
⚽1 | Alexis Serna | ||
⚽1 | Yony Gonzalez | ||
⚽1 | Baldomero Perlaza |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 67% |
Over corners 7.5 | 0% | 50% |
Over corners 8.5 | 0% | 33% |
Over corners 9.5 | 0% | 33% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 33% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 33% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 17% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 30% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 20% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 20% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 10% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 0% | 30% |
1.5 | 0% | 30% |
2.5 | 0% | 20% |
3.5 | 0% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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