Montenegro - Switzerland: our prediction

Switzerland is clearly the favorite (odd 1.13). Over the last 10 matches, both teams have an identical record (5W/5L), but Switzerland has a better performance as a favorite (60% wins vs 70% for Montenegro, but Montenegro played more often as favorite). Montenegro is very weak as an outsider (only 10% wins). No injury information available, which reinforces the favorite's logic.

The proposed total is 64.5 goals. The half-time analysis is revealing: Montenegro scores little in the 2nd half (only 1 time more goals in the last 10 matches), and Switzerland is only 50% effective in this period. In the 1st half, Montenegro is at 50% and Switzerland only at 30%. These mixed offensive statistics, combined with the stakes of a qualification, suggest a potentially tight match under the total.