Poland - Italy: our prediction
20/01/2026•18:00
Poland
28:29
(13:15)
Finished
Italy
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1
-
X
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2
Poland vs Italy Preview — European Championships Preliminary Round Grp. F
Euro 2026 qualification handball match between Poland (home) and Italy (away). Italy is the favorite on paper, but Poland is playing at home.
Our Poland vs Italy predictions
Winner (Ordinary time) : Italy
Italy is clearly the favorite (odds 1.63). Statistics show a more performing team: 90% win rate as favorite in the last 10 matches, compared to 80% for Poland. Poland has a balanced record (5W/5L) and loses 60% of its recent matches. No information on major injuries is available, which strengthens the probability of an Italian victory.
1.66
Confidence
High
Goals Over/Under (Ordinary time) : Under 59.5 Goals
The expected total goals is tight. Poland scores little in the first half (20% of matches > goals HT1), but Italy is more offensive (40%). In the second half, Italy is even stronger (60%). However, the odds for Under 59.5 are slightly higher (1.73 vs 1.66 for Over 57.5), indicating a cautious market. In a qualification match, defense may take precedence. No info on a very high-scoring game.
1.85
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Poland vs Italy
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Poland vs Italy Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Win by being a favorite | 80% | 88% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Win by being an outsider | 30% | 40% |
Over goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 50% |
2nd half | 10% | 55% |
Lineups
Poland
Substitutes
Italy
Substitutes
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