Toronto Maple Leafs - Washington Capitals: our prediction
09/04/2026•01:30
Toronto Maple Leafs
0:4
Finished
Washington Capitals
-
1
-
X
-
2
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Washington Capitals Preview — NHL
NHL match between the Toronto Maple Leafs (home) and the Washington Capitals (away). The Capitals show slightly better form over the last 10 games (6 wins vs 4). Both teams are offensive, with a strong trend towards matches with over 2.5 goals.
Our Toronto Maple Leafs vs Washington Capitals predictions
Winner (Ordinary time) : Washington Capitals
The Capitals have better recent form (6W/4L in last 10 games vs 4W/6L for the Maple Leafs). Statistics show higher efficiency as a favorite (70% wins in that role over 10 games). The odds of 3.89 offer good value for a confident team.
1.96
Confidence
High
Goals Over/Under (Ordinary time) : Under 6.5 Goals
Although both teams are offensive, statistics over 10 games show a balanced distribution for Under 6.5 (50% for Toronto, 40% for Washington). The odds of 1.65 reflect a moderate probability. The lack of information on major defensive injuries supports a controlled scenario.
1.69
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Toronto Maple Leafs vs Washington Capitals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Washington Capitals Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 2 8 | 8 2 |
Win Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Win by being a favorite | 40% | 70% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Win by being an outsider | 30% | 50% |
Over goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st period | 0% | 10% |
2nd period | 0% | 40% |
3rd period | 10% | 10% |
Over goals (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 100% |
1.5 | 60% | 90% |
2.5 | 50% | 80% |
3.5 | 40% | 60% |
4.5 | 30% | 50% |
Under goals (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 10% | 0% |
1.5 | 40% | 10% |
2.5 | 50% | 20% |
3.5 | 60% | 40% |
4.5 | 70% | 50% |
Over goals (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
2.5 | 100% | 100% |
3.5 | 100% | 80% |
4.5 | 80% | 70% |
5.5 | 70% | 70% |
6.5 | 60% | 70% |
Under goals (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
2.5 | 0% | 0% |
3.5 | 0% | 20% |
4.5 | 20% | 30% |
5.5 | 30% | 30% |
6.5 | 40% | 30% |
Lineups
Toronto Maple Leafs
CoachCraig Berube
Substitutes
Washington Capitals
CoachSpencer Carbery
Substitutes
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