Julia Riera - Vitalia Diatchenko: our prediction
08/09/2025•23:00

#140

Julia Riera
2:0
6•3
7•6
Finished

#76

Vitalia Diatchenko
-
1
-
X
-
2
Julia Riera vs Vitalia Diatchenko Preview — Sao Paulo Open
Julia Riera, the match favorite, shows solid form with 4 wins in her last 10 matches. Vitalia Diatchenko, less performant recently (2 wins/10), might still offer resistance. No injuries reported. The match should be competitive, with a high probability of over 22.5 games.
Our Julia Riera vs Vitalia Diatchenko predictions
Over 22.5 games
Statistics show both players tend to play tight matches. Riera often loses a set as favorite (40%), and Diatchenko frequently wins a set as underdog (30-80% depending on opponent odds). This suggests a match in 2 tight sets or 3 sets.
1.95
Confidence
High
Victory of Julia Riera
Riera is favorite (odds 1.67) and shows a better recent win percentage (40% vs 20% for Diatchenko). Her win rate as favorite is 80% and she performs well on this surface. No injuries contradict this trend.
1.67
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 sets
Diatchenko has a significant probability of winning a set (30-80% depending on context), and Riera loses a set in 40% of her matches as favorite. Their respective percentages of 3-set matches (50% for Riera, 40% for Diatchenko outside Majors) support this possibility.
2.33
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Julia Riera vs Vitalia Diatchenko
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Julia Riera vs Vitalia Diatchenko Statistics
Win
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 2 8 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 60% | 60% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 10% | 10% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 25% | 0% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 33% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 60% | 60% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
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