Jazmin Ortenzi - Julia Riera: our prediction
03/04/2026•18:05

#123

Jazmin Ortenzi
2:1
6•7
6•3
6•2
Finished

#140

Julia Riera
-
1
-
X
-
2
Jazmin Ortenzi vs Julia Riera Preview — Copa Colsanitas
Julia Riera, the favorite with odds of 1.60, faces Jazmin Ortenzi (odds 2.26) in the first round of the Copa Colsanitas. Riera shows better recent form and greater efficiency as a favorite. Ortenzi, on the other hand, demonstrates the ability to win sets as an underdog. No injuries reported. A tight three-set match is likely.
Our Jazmin Ortenzi vs Julia Riera predictions
Julia Riera to Win
Julia Riera is clearly designated as the favorite by the bookmakers (odds 1.60 vs. 2.26). Her statistics as a favorite are solid: 70% wins in her last 10 matches in this role, compared to 50% for Ortenzi. Furthermore, in non-Grand Slam matches, she has a 2-set win rate of 60% when favored, indicating an ability to close out matches efficiently. Her overall form (5W/5L) is identical to Ortenzi's, but her favorite status and efficiency in this role give her the edge.
1.63
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 sets in the match
The players' statistics indicate a high probability of a three-set match. Julia Riera, although the favorite, loses at least one set in 40% of her matches as a favorite. Jazmin Ortenzi, on the other hand, wins at least one set in 60% of her matches as an underdog. Furthermore, in their last 10 non-Grand Slam matches, Riera played 60% of her matches in 3 sets, and Ortenzi 30%. The combination of Ortenzi's resilience and Riera's occasional tendency to drop a set makes the three-set scenario very plausible.
2.32
Confidence
High
Market signals on Jazmin Ortenzi vs Julia Riera
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Jazmin Ortenzi vs Julia Riera Statistics
Win
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 5 5 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 25% | 60% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 66% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 66% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 75% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 33% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 60% |
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