Elena Rybakina - Jessica Pegula: our prediction
07/11/2025
#1
Elena Rybakina
21:00
#3
Jessica Pegula
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1
-
X
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2
Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegula Preview — WTA Finals, Final Stage
WTA Finals match between Elena Rybakina and Jessica Pegula. Rybakina shows excellent form with 90% recent wins against 70% for Pegula. Statistics show clear superiority for Rybakina in 2-set matches.
Our Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegula predictions
Elena Rybakina to win
Rybakina shows 90% recent wins against 70% for Pegula. Excellent performance as favorite with 80% wins in 2 sets. No injuries reported.
1.5
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 sets
Rybakina wins 80% of her matches in 2 sets as favorite. Pegula rarely loses in 3 sets (only 20% of her defeats). Rybakina's superiority should lead to a straight sets victory.
1.49
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games
With the probability of a 2-set match and Rybakina's dominance, the total games should remain low. Rybakina often finishes her matches quickly when favorite.
1.78
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegula
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegula Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 10 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 20% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 20% | 20% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 100% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 80% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 60% | 40% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 70% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 80% | 40% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 80% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 33% | 66% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 80% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
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