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Polina Iatcenko - Joanna Garland: our prediction

07/01/2026•02:10

#161

Polina Iatcenko

0:0

3•3

Finished

#130

Joanna Garland

Polina Iatcenko vs Joanna Garland Preview — Canberra

Polina Iatcenko faces Joanna Garland in Canberra. Garland is the favorite with odds of 1.72, but Iatcenko has better recent form (77.8% win rate in last 10 matches). Statistics suggest a tight match, potentially going to three sets, with Garland tending to drop a set even when favored.

Our Polina Iatcenko vs Joanna Garland predictions

Joanna Garland to Win

Garland is the favorite (odds 1.72) and has a good performance as a favorite (60% win rate). Although Iatcenko has better recent form, Garland has more experience in this role and her statistics as an outsider (40% wins) show her ability to win tight matches. No injuries reported.

1.7

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 Sets in the Match

Garland drops at least one set in 70% of her matches as a favorite. Iatcenko, as an outsider, has a 0% win rate but this can indicate tight matches. Both players' statistics outside Majors show a significant frequency of three-set matches (Iatcenko 33.3%, Garland 40%). A two-set match seems less likely.

2.38

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 Games in the Match

The prediction of a three-set match increases the probability of exceeding 22.5 games. Even a tight two-set match (e.g., 7-5, 7-5) reaches 24 games. Considering the players' tendencies (Garland often drops a set, Iatcenko can be competitive), a high total games count is plausible. However, a clear two-set win by Garland is possible, hence medium confidence.

2.2

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Polina Iatcenko vs Joanna Garland

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Polina Iatcenko vs Joanna Garland Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Polina Iatcenko	Joanna Garland
Win \| Lose	7 2	6 4
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	60%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	100%	60%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	60%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	0%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	0%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	66%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	66%