Moerani Bouzige - Liam Draxl: our prediction
13/01/2026•07:30

#98

Moerani Bouzige
0:2
6•7
3•6
Finished

#109

Liam Draxl
-
1
-
X
-
2
Moerani Bouzige vs Liam Draxl Preview — Australian Open, Qualification ATP
Liam Draxl, the clear favorite (odds 1.10), faces Moerani Bouzige (odds 6.32) in the first round of Australian Open qualifying. Draxl shows more solid form (5W/5L vs 2W/8L) and better efficiency as a favorite. Bouzige, often the underdog, struggles to win but can sometimes take a set. No known injury alerts.
Our Moerani Bouzige vs Liam Draxl predictions
Liam Draxl to Win
Draxl is the undisputed favorite (odds 1.10). His recent form (50% wins) is far superior to Bouzige's (20%). As a favorite, Draxl wins 60% of the time, compared to Bouzige's mere 20% as an underdog. Furthermore, Draxl has a 100% win rate (3/3) when favored with odds between 1.0 and 1.2. No injuries reported.
1.11
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 Sets
This bet is consistent with a Draxl straight-sets win. Statistics show that outside Majors, Draxl finishes his matches in two sets 60% of the time as a favorite, and Bouzige 70% of the time as an underdog. For Bouzige, winning a set against a favorite with such low odds (1.10) is very rare (0% in the 1.0-1.2 category). The probability of a three-set match is low.
1.28
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 Games
Draxl's very low odds suggest a probable straight-sets victory (6-3, 6-3 or similar). Bouzige has a low rate of winning at least one set as an underdog (30%), especially against favorites with very low odds (0% for odds 1.0-1.2). Draxl, as a favorite, rarely loses a set (25% for Bouzige as a favorite, but Draxl is more solid). A two-set match (18-22 games) is the most likely scenario.
1.41
Confidence
High
Market signals on Moerani Bouzige vs Liam Draxl
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Moerani Bouzige vs Liam Draxl Statistics
Win
Win | Lose | 2 8 | 5 5 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 22% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 75% | 60% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 25% | 80% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 66% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
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