Tahlia Kokkinis - Anouk Koevermans: our prediction

The statistics are very clear: Koevermans plays 90% of her matches (outside Grand Slams) in two sets. Kokkinis, in her last three matches, also played and lost in two sets (100%). Furthermore, Koevermans, even when she loses a set as the favorite (70% of the time), often ends up winning the match in three sets. But given the expected weak resistance from Kokkinis (0% of sets won recently), a two-set match is the most likely scenario.

Koevermans has a very high rate of two-set matches (90% outside Grand Slams). When she is the favorite, she wins 70% of her matches in two sets. Kokkinis, on the other hand, has lost her last three matches in two sets (100%). The probability of a short two-set match is therefore high. A typical score of 6-3, 6-3 gives 18 games, well below the 22.5 threshold.

Koevermans is the clear favorite (odds 1.32) with solid recent form (60% wins in her last 10 matches). She shows excellent consistency in two-set matches (90% outside Grand Slams). Facing Kokkinis who is struggling (0 wins, 100% recent losses) and who hasn't won a single set in her last three matches, the Dutch player has all the assets to win.