Tamara Korpatsch - Miriam Bulgaru: our prediction
13/01/2026•04:30

#71

Tamara Korpatsch
2:1
6•4
6•7
6•2
Finished

#204

Miriam Bulgaru
-
1
-
X
-
2
Tamara Korpatsch vs Miriam Bulgaru Preview — Australian Open, Qualification WTA
Tamara Korpatsch, the clear favorite (odds 1.24), faces Miriam Bulgaru in the Australian Open qualifiers. Korpatsch shows an excellent win rate as a favorite (90%) and a strong tendency for matches to end in 2 sets. Bulgaru, the underdog (odds 3.95), has inconsistent recent form and struggles against favorites. No known injury alerts.
Our Tamara Korpatsch vs Miriam Bulgaru predictions
Tamara Korpatsch to Win
Korpatsch is the designated favorite (odds 1.24). Her statistics as a favorite are impressive: 90% wins in her last 10 matches in this role. Furthermore, in Grand Slam tournaments, she has won 100% of her matches as a favorite (3/3). Against Bulgaru, who has only a 20% win rate as an underdog, the statistical logic strongly favors her.
1.2
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 Sets (Match in 2 Sets)
Historical data from both players indicates a high probability of a match ending in 2 sets. Korpatsch finishes 80% of her matches as a favorite in 2 sets (outside Grand Slams). Bulgaru, as an underdog, finishes 80% of her matches in 2 sets. Although this is a Grand Slam match (best-of-3 format), the dynamics of this duel and the clear difference in level suggest a quick victory for the favorite.
1.38
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 Total Games in the Match
This bet is consistent with the prediction of a 2-0 victory for Korpatsch. If she dominates as expected, the sets could be relatively tight but not necessarily very long (e.g., 6-3, 6-4 = 19 games). Korpatsch's statistics as a favorite show she rarely loses a set (only 20% of the time), which limits the risk of a very long set or a third set. However, the margin is thin; a 7-5 set would make this bet risky.
1.5
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Tamara Korpatsch vs Miriam Bulgaru
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Tamara Korpatsch vs Miriam Bulgaru Statistics
Win
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 5 5 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 100% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 90% | 50% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 25% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 80% | 66% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 20% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 33% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 66% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 50% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 75% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 20% | 33% |
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