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Tamara Korpatsch - Miriam Bulgaru: our prediction

13/01/202604:30
Tamara Korpatsch
#71
country flag
Tamara Korpatsch
2:1
64
67
62
Finished
Miriam Bulgaru
#204
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Miriam Bulgaru
-
1
-
X
-
2

Tamara Korpatsch vs Miriam Bulgaru Preview — Australian Open, Qualification WTA

Tamara Korpatsch, the clear favorite (odds 1.24), faces Miriam Bulgaru in the Australian Open qualifiers. Korpatsch shows an excellent win rate as a favorite (90%) and a strong tendency for matches to end in 2 sets. Bulgaru, the underdog (odds 3.95), has inconsistent recent form and struggles against favorites. No known injury alerts.

Our Tamara Korpatsch vs Miriam Bulgaru predictions

Tamara Korpatsch to Win
Korpatsch is the designated favorite (odds 1.24). Her statistics as a favorite are impressive: 90% wins in her last 10 matches in this role. Furthermore, in Grand Slam tournaments, she has won 100% of her matches as a favorite (3/3). Against Bulgaru, who has only a 20% win rate as an underdog, the statistical logic strongly favors her.
1.2
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 Sets (Match in 2 Sets)
Historical data from both players indicates a high probability of a match ending in 2 sets. Korpatsch finishes 80% of her matches as a favorite in 2 sets (outside Grand Slams). Bulgaru, as an underdog, finishes 80% of her matches in 2 sets. Although this is a Grand Slam match (best-of-3 format), the dynamics of this duel and the clear difference in level suggest a quick victory for the favorite.
1.38
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 Total Games in the Match
This bet is consistent with the prediction of a 2-0 victory for Korpatsch. If she dominates as expected, the sets could be relatively tight but not necessarily very long (e.g., 6-3, 6-4 = 19 games). Korpatsch's statistics as a favorite show she rarely loses a set (only 20% of the time), which limits the risk of a very long set or a third set. However, the margin is thin; a 7-5 set would make this bet risky.
1.5
Confidence
Medium

Market signals on Tamara Korpatsch vs Miriam Bulgaru

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Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Tamara Korpatsch vs Miriam Bulgaru Statistics

Win
Tamara Korpatsch logo
Tamara Korpatsch
Miriam Bulgaru logo
Miriam Bulgaru
Win | Lose
5
5
5
5
Win
Lose
% of match in X sets
12
% of match in 3 sets
40%
0%
% of match in 4 sets or more
0%
0%
% of match in X sets when favorite
12
% of match in 3 sets
100%
0%
% of match in 4 sets or more
0%
0%
% of match in X sets when outsider
12
% of match in 3 sets
30%
0%
% of match in 4 sets or more
0%
0%
Win by being a favorite
12
Global
90%
50%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2
100%
100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5
100%
25%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8
80%
66%
Win by being an outsider
12
Global
20%
20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2
0%
0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5
20%
50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8
33%
33%
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
12
Global
60%
40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2
50%
0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5
40%
50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8
33%
66%
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
12
Global
20%
50%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20
50%
0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5
0%
75%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80
20%
33%
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Nicole Fossa Huergo
0
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Elise Mertens
0
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Elina Svitolina
0
Tamara Korpatsch logo
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N
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Oleksandra Oliynykova
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Nicole Fossa Huergo
0
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N
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Tamara Korpatsch logo
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Clara Burel
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Tamara Korpatsch logo
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N
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Solana Sierra
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Tamara Korpatsch logo
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0
N
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N
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Beatrice Ricci
0
Tamara Korpatsch logo
Tamara Korpatsch
0
N
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