Marvin Moeller - Frederico Ferreira Silva: our prediction
13/01/2026•14:45

#140

Marvin Moeller
2:0
6•3
1•0
Finished

#95

Frederico Ferreira Silva
-
1
-
X
-
2
Marvin Moeller vs Frederico Ferreira Silva Preview — Glasgow
Frederico Ferreira Silva, the favorite, faces Marvin Moeller. Silva has better recent form (60% wins vs 20%) and excellent performance as a favorite (90%). Moeller, the underdog, tends to lose but can win a set. A 3-set match is likely.
Our Marvin Moeller vs Frederico Ferreira Silva predictions
Victory for Frederico Ferreira Silva
Silva is the favorite with odds of 1.84. His recent form is solid (60% wins in last 10 matches) and he wins 90% of his matches when favored. Moeller wins only 20% of his recent matches and only 20% as an underdog. Statistics clearly support a Silva victory.
1.81
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Silva, although favored, often loses a set (60% of the time as favorite). Moeller, as underdog, wins at least one set 50% of the time. Additionally, 50% of Silva's recent matches and 40% of Moeller's have gone to 3 sets. The probability of a 3-set match is high.
2.35
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 games in the match
A 3-set match increases the probability of exceeding 22.5 games. Even in 2 sets, if sets are tight (e.g., 7-5, 6-4 = 22 games), the limit is close. Given Silva's tendency to lose sets and Moeller's ability to win them, a tight match with many games is plausible.
1.88
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Marvin Moeller vs Frederico Ferreira Silva
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Marvin Moeller vs Frederico Ferreira Silva Statistics
Win
Win | Lose | 2 8 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 100% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 100% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 44% | 90% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 80% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 20% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 20% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 20% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 20% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 77% | 60% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 75% | 40% |
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