Rugby

Tennis

Zarina Diyas - Paula Badosa: our prediction

19/01/2026•07:55

#33

Zarina Diyas

0:2

2•6

4•6

Finished

Paula Badosa

Zarina Diyas vs Paula Badosa Preview — Australian Open WTA

Paula Badosa, the clear favorite, faces Zarina Diyas in the first round of the Australian Open. The odds and recent statistics indicate a clear advantage for Badosa, but her tendency to lose sets as a favorite could allow Diyas to offer some resistance.

Our Zarina Diyas vs Paula Badosa predictions

Paula Badosa to Win

Badosa is the overwhelming favorite (odds 1.02). Her win rate as a favorite (50% in last 10 matches) and Diyas's poor form (3 wins in 10) confirm this superiority. No injury alerts reported.

1.03

Confidence

Very high

Under 2.5 Sets (Match in 2 Sets)

In Grand Slams, Badosa finishes 40% of her matches in 3 sets, but against a struggling opponent like Diyas, a win in 2 sets is likely. Diyas, as an underdog, rarely wins a set against such overwhelming favorites (0% against odds of 1.0-1.2).

1.13

Confidence

High

Market signals on Zarina Diyas vs Paula Badosa

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Zarina Diyas vs Paula Badosa Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Zarina Diyas	Paula Badosa
Win \| Lose	3 7	4 6
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	20%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	40%	50%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	60%	66%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	20%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	20%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	25%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	80%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	66%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	40%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	50%