Rugby

Tennis

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Zhuoxuan Bai: our prediction

18/01/2026•09:55

#12

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova

1:2

4•6

6•2

6•7

Finished

#115

Zhuoxuan Bai

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs Zhuoxuan Bai Preview — Australian Open WTA

Experienced favorite Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova faces young Zhuoxuan Bai in the first round of the Australian Open. Pavlyuchenkova, with her Grand Slam experience and odds of 1.58, is the clear favorite. However, her recent statistics show a tendency to lose sets even when favored. Bai, the underdog (odds 2.34), has shown solid form with 6 wins in her last 10 matches and could be dangerous.

Our Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs Zhuoxuan Bai predictions

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova to Win

Pavlyuchenkova is the logical favorite (odds 1.58). Her Grand Slam experience (French Open 2021 finalist) and her assumed seeded status against a less experienced young player are major assets. Although her recent form is not overwhelming (4W/6L in last 10), she is used to this level of competition. No known injury alerts.

1.61

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 Sets (Match in 3 Sets)

The players' statistics in Grand Slams indicate a high probability of a match in 3 sets (40% for each in the last 10 matches in Majors). Furthermore, Pavlyuchenkova often loses a set as a favorite (80% in her last 10 matches as favorite). Bai has shown her ability to win a set as an underdog (60%). The combination of these factors suggests a tight match with a set for Bai.

2.35

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 Games in the Match

The prediction of a match in 3 sets (Over 2.5 sets) mathematically increases the chances of exceeding the 22.5 games threshold. A match in 2 tight sets (e.g., 7-5, 7-5) reaches 24 games. A match in 3 sets, even with an easy set, often exceeds this threshold (e.g., 6-2, 4-6, 6-3 = 27 games). Considering the players' profiles and the probability of contested sets, the Over 22.5 games bet is a consistent complementary wager.

2.1

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs Zhuoxuan Bai

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs Zhuoxuan Bai Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova	Zhuoxuan Bai
Win \| Lose	4 6	6 4
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	100%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	25%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	50%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	50%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	80%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	0%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	83%	33%