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Sofia Costoulas - Yexin Ma: our prediction

28/01/2026•04:10

#144

Sofia Costoulas

2:0

6•2

6•4

Finished

#166

Yexin Ma

Sofia Costoulas vs Yexin Ma Preview — Manila

Sofia Costoulas, the designated favorite (odds 1.41), faces Yexin Ma (odds 2.73) in a WTA tournament in Manila. Costoulas shows solid form (60% wins in the last 10 matches) and good efficiency as a favorite (70% wins). Ma is also in form (70% wins) and performs well as an underdog (60% wins). Set statistics suggest a potentially tight match, with a tendency for two-set matches for both players.

Our Sofia Costoulas vs Yexin Ma predictions

Sofia Costoulas to win

Sofia Costoulas is the logical favorite (odds 1.41). Her recent form is good (6W/4L) and she is very efficient as a favorite (70% win rate, 100% when her odds are between 1.0 and 1.2). Yexin Ma is in form but her win rate as an underdog (60%) is less convincing against such a solid favorite. No known injury alerts.

1.43

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 sets

Both players' statistics show a strong trend towards two-set matches. Costoulas finished 60% of her recent matches in 2 sets, Ma 80%. As a favorite, Costoulas wins 70% of her matches in 2 sets. Ma, as an underdog, also wins 80% of her matches in 2 sets. The probability of a three-set match (over 2.5) seems low based on this data.

1.48

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 games

The prediction of a two-set match (under 2.5) supports the idea of a total games under 22.5. If Costoulas wins in relatively clear two sets (e.g., 6-3, 6-4), the total would be 19 games. Ma's form (70% wins) suggests she can be competitive and win games, but both players' quick-set statistics point to a match with a moderate number of games.

1.6

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Sofia Costoulas vs Yexin Ma

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Sofia Costoulas vs Yexin Ma Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Sofia Costoulas	Yexin Ma
Win \| Lose	6 4	6 4
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	77%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	75%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	66%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	75%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	33%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	75%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	33%