Elvina Kalieva - Yexin Ma: our prediction
14/01/2026•00:05

#110

Elvina Kalieva
2:0
6•4
6•2
Finished

#166

Yexin Ma
-
1
-
X
-
2
Elvina Kalieva vs Yexin Ma Preview — Australian Open, Qualification WTA
Elvina Kalieva faces Yexin Ma in the Australian Open qualifiers. Kalieva is slightly favored according to the odds (1.85 vs. 1.86). Recent form statistics show that Ma is performing better (70% wins in the last 10 matches compared to 40% for Kalieva). Both players tend to finish their matches in two sets outside of Grand Slam tournaments. No injury information is available.
Our Elvina Kalieva vs Yexin Ma predictions
Victory for Yexin Ma
Yexin Ma displays significantly better form over the last 10 matches (70% wins vs. 40% for Kalieva). Although slightly the underdog according to the odds, her win statistics as a favorite (77.8%) and as an underdog (60%) are solid. In a qualifying context where consistency is key, her confidence should make the difference.
2
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 sets
Both players' statistics outside of Grand Slams indicate a strong tendency for two-set matches (70% for Kalieva, 80% for Ma). In qualifiers, where experience and stress management can limit long matches, a two-set match (2-0) is the most likely scenario. No data suggests a strong propensity for long matches in Grand Slams for either player.
1.55
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games
A two-set match (preferred scenario) mechanically limits the total number of games. If one of the players wins 2-0 with tight sets (e.g., 6-4, 6-4), the total would be 20 games. Even with a tighter set, it is difficult to reach 23 games without a third set. The probability of a two-set match supports this bet, although very one-sided sets (e.g., 6-1, 6-2) could make it risky.
1.72
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Elvina Kalieva vs Yexin Ma
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Elvina Kalieva vs Yexin Ma Statistics
Win
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 7 3 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 77% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 75% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 66% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 75% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 75% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 75% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 44% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 50% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 66% |
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