Rugby

Tennis

Elvina Kalieva - Katerina Siniakova: our prediction

22/04/2026•19:10

#110

Elvina Kalieva

0:2

3•6

4•6

Finished

Katerina Siniakova

Elvina Kalieva vs Katerina Siniakova Preview — Madrid Open

Katerina Siniakova, clear favorite (odds 1.45), faces Elvina Kalieva (odds 2.79) at the Madrid Open. Siniakova, more experienced, is in confident form with a recent good run. Kalieva, the underdog, has shown an ability to win sets against favorites. A two-set match is likely.

Our Elvina Kalieva vs Katerina Siniakova predictions

Katerina Siniakova to Win

Siniakova is the logical favorite (odds 1.45). Her statistics as a favorite are solid (70% 2-set wins in her last 10 non-Grand Slam matches). She faces the less experienced Kalieva. No injuries reported. Form and experience are in her favor.

1.44

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 Sets in the Match

Siniakova wins 70% of her matches in 2 sets as a favorite. Kalieva, as an underdog, wins 50% of her matches in 2 sets. The probability of a 3-set match is lower. The dynamics favor a match concluded in two sets.

1.47

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 Games in the Match

With a predicted two-set match, the total number of games tends to be lower. If Siniakova dominates as expected, scores like 6-3, 6-4 (19 games) or 6-2, 6-3 (17 games) are plausible. However, Kalieva's resistance could increase the game count, hence medium confidence.

1.57

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Elvina Kalieva vs Katerina Siniakova

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Elvina Kalieva vs Katerina Siniakova Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Elvina Kalieva	Katerina Siniakova
Win \| Lose	6 4	5 5
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	60%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	60%	50%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	50%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	37%	60%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	80%	70%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	87%	80%