Rugby

Tennis

Matilde Jorge - Elvina Kalieva: our prediction

18/05/2026•18:35

#124

Matilde Jorge

2:0

7•6

7•5

Finished

#110

Elvina Kalieva

Matilde Jorge vs Elvina Kalieva Preview — Roland Garros, Qualification WTA

Roland Garros qualification match between Matilde Jorge and Elvina Kalieva. Kalieva is the heavy favorite with odds of 1.20 against 4.22 for Jorge. Kalieva has a better win percentage (60% vs 40%) and performs better as a favorite (70% wins). Jorge has a 100% win rate when favored, but she is the underdog here.

Our Matilde Jorge vs Elvina Kalieva predictions

Victory for Elvina Kalieva

Elvina Kalieva is the heavy favorite with odds of 1.20. She has an overall win rate of 60% and 70% when favored. Matilde Jorge, as an underdog, has only 30% wins. Kalieva also performs better in 2-set matches (60% vs 60% for Jorge, but with a better ratio as a favorite). No injuries or absences reported.

1.2

Confidence

Very high

Under 2.5 sets

Both players have a 60% rate of 2-set matches (outside Grand Slams). Kalieva, as a favorite, has 60% of her matches in 2 sets. Jorge, as an underdog, also has 60% of matches in 2 sets. The probability that the match ends in 2 sets is high, so under 2.5 sets.

1.39

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 games

Both players have a 60% rate of 2-set matches (outside Grand Slams). Kalieva, as a favorite, has 60% of her matches in 2 sets. Jorge, as an underdog, also has 60% of matches in 2 sets. With Kalieva favored and her tendency to win quickly, the match should end in under 22.5 games.

1.2

Confidence

High

Market signals on Matilde Jorge vs Elvina Kalieva

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Matilde Jorge vs Elvina Kalieva Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Matilde Jorge	Elvina Kalieva
Win \| Lose	4 6	6 4
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	100%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	60%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	66%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	40%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	42%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	70%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	40%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	85%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	25%	60%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	50%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	40%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	100%

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