Matilde Jorge - Elvina Kalieva: our prediction
18/05/2026•18:35
#124
Matilde Jorge
2:0
7•6
7•5
Finished
#110
Elvina Kalieva
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1
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X
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2
Matilde Jorge vs Elvina Kalieva Preview — Roland Garros, Qualification WTA
Roland Garros qualification match between Matilde Jorge and Elvina Kalieva. Kalieva is the heavy favorite with odds of 1.20 against 4.22 for Jorge. Kalieva has a better win percentage (60% vs 40%) and performs better as a favorite (70% wins). Jorge has a 100% win rate when favored, but she is the underdog here.
Our Matilde Jorge vs Elvina Kalieva predictions
Victory for Elvina Kalieva
Elvina Kalieva is the heavy favorite with odds of 1.20. She has an overall win rate of 60% and 70% when favored. Matilde Jorge, as an underdog, has only 30% wins. Kalieva also performs better in 2-set matches (60% vs 60% for Jorge, but with a better ratio as a favorite). No injuries or absences reported.
1.2
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 sets
Both players have a 60% rate of 2-set matches (outside Grand Slams). Kalieva, as a favorite, has 60% of her matches in 2 sets. Jorge, as an underdog, also has 60% of matches in 2 sets. The probability that the match ends in 2 sets is high, so under 2.5 sets.
1.39
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games
Both players have a 60% rate of 2-set matches (outside Grand Slams). Kalieva, as a favorite, has 60% of her matches in 2 sets. Jorge, as an underdog, also has 60% of matches in 2 sets. With Kalieva favored and her tendency to win quickly, the match should end in under 22.5 games.
1.2
Confidence
High
Market signals on Matilde Jorge vs Elvina Kalieva
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Matilde Jorge vs Elvina Kalieva Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 100% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 60% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 66% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 42% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 70% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 85% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 25% | 60% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 50% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 40% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
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