Rugby

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Nikolai Barsukov - Ilia Simakin: our prediction

30/01/2026•04:40

#581

Nikolai Barsukov

0:2

6•7

5•7

Finished

#202

Ilia Simakin

Nikolai Barsukov vs Ilia Simakin Preview — Phan Thiet 2

Nikolai Barsukov faces Ilia Simakin in the Phan Thiet 2 tournament. Simakin is the clear favorite with odds of 1.35, backed by superior recent form (80% win rate in last 10 matches). Barsukov, the underdog (odds 3.04), shows resilience in that role, often winning sets. The match could be tighter than the odds suggest.

Our Nikolai Barsukov vs Ilia Simakin predictions

Ilia Simakin to Win

Simakin is the justified favorite (odds 1.35). His recent form is excellent (80% win rate in last 10 matches). As a favorite, he wins 80% of the time. Barsukov performs well as an underdog, but Simakin's consistency should prevail.

1.3

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 Sets in the Match

Set statistics support a 3-set match. Simakin, although favorite, loses at least one set in 60% of his matches as favorite. Barsukov, as underdog, wins at least one set in 66.7% of cases. The combined probability of a 3-set match is high.

2.5

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 Games in the Match

A 3-set match increases the probability of exceeding 22.5 games. Both players can be competitive in sets, leading to tight scores (e.g., 7-5, 4-6, 6-4 = 32 games). Simakin's tendency to lose sets and Barsukov's resilience support this scenario.

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Nikolai Barsukov vs Ilia Simakin

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Nikolai Barsukov vs Ilia Simakin Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Nikolai Barsukov	Ilia Simakin
Win \| Lose	3 1	8 2
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	100%	90%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	50%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	66%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	66%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	66%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	66%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	66%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	66%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	66%