Rugby

Tennis

Arina Rodionova - Simona Waltert: our prediction

31/01/2026•09:45

#29

Arina Rodionova

0:2

2•6

0•1

Finished

#91

Simona Waltert

Arina Rodionova vs Simona Waltert Preview — Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open, Qualification

Simona Waltert, the clear favorite (odds 1.21), faces Arina Rodionova in the Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open qualifiers. Waltert shows solid form and an excellent performance as a favorite (80% wins). Rodionova, the underdog (odds 3.95), has the ability to win sets, but statistical logic leans towards a Waltert victory, potentially in two sets.

Our Arina Rodionova vs Simona Waltert predictions

Simona Waltert to Win

Simona Waltert is the undisputed favorite (odds 1.21). Her statistics as a favorite are excellent: 80% wins (8/10) overall and 100% (5/5) when her odds are between 1.0 and 1.2. Her recent form is slightly better (5 wins/10 last matches vs 4 for Rodionova). Rodionova has a low win rate (40%) and struggles against low-odds favorites. No known injury alert contradicts this dynamic.

1.2

Confidence

Very high

Under 2.5 Sets in the Match

The match is best-of-2 sets (non-Grand Slam). As a favorite, Waltert wins 70% of her matches in 2 sets ('en2set'). Furthermore, 50% of both players' matches (excluding Grand Slams) end in 2 sets ('en2setall'). Rodionova, as an outsider, loses 60% of her matches in 2 sets ('en2setoutsider'). The probability of a 2-set match is therefore high, supporting the 'Under 2.5 Sets' bet (i.e., a maximum of 2 sets).

1.38

Confidence

High

Market signals on Arina Rodionova vs Simona Waltert

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Arina Rodionova vs Simona Waltert Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Arina Rodionova	Simona Waltert
Win \| Lose	4 6	5 5
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	25%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	40%	80%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	20%	66%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	40%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	25%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	60%	25%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	50%