Rugby

Tennis

Miriana Tona - Valeriya Strakhova: our prediction

21/02/2026•23:40

#207

Miriana Tona

2:0

6•2

6•4

Finished

#106

Valeriya Strakhova

Miriana Tona vs Valeriya Strakhova Preview — Merida Open Akron, Qualification

Miriana Tona faces Valeriya Strakhova in the first round of the Merida Open Akron qualifiers. Tona, with more solid recent form (3 wins in last 7 matches vs 1 in 10 for Strakhova), appears slightly favored. Statistics show a tendency for two-set matches for both players, especially for Strakhova. No injury alerts are reported.

Our Miriana Tona vs Valeriya Strakhova predictions

Miriana Tona to Win

Miriana Tona displays significantly better recent form (42.9% win rate in last 7 matches) compared to only 10% for Strakhova. She has a better win percentage as a favorite (100% in 2 matches) and as an underdog (20% vs 10%). Her odds of 1.57 reflect this statistical superiority.

2.34

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 Sets (Match in 2 Sets)

Both players' statistics indicate a strong tendency for two-set matches outside Grand Slams: Tona 71.4% (5/7), Strakhova 80% (8/10). Strakhova, in particular, rarely loses in three sets (only 20%). The probability of a two-set match is high.

1.44

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 Games in the Match

With a high probability of a two-set match (previous prediction), the total number of games tends to be lower. If Tona dominates as expected, a two-set scoreline with potential margins (e.g., 6-3, 6-4 = 19 games) could keep the total under 22.5. However, Strakhova's poor form could also lead to tighter sets, hence medium confidence.

1.83

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Miriana Tona vs Valeriya Strakhova

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Miriana Tona vs Valeriya Strakhova Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Miriana Tona	Valeriya Strakhova
Win \| Lose	3 4	1 9
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	100%	66%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	33%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	100%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	10%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	100%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	28%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	100%