Mananchaya Sawangkaew - Rebeka Masarova: our prediction
02/03/2026•23:00

#153

Mananchaya Sawangkaew
2:0
6•3
7•5
Finished

#63

Rebeka Masarova
-
1
-
X
-
2
Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Rebeka Masarova Preview — BNP Paribas Open, Qualification
Mananchaya Sawangkaew, the underdog, faces Rebeka Masarova, the favorite, in Indian Wells qualifying. Masarova, more experienced, is slightly favored according to the odds. Recent statistics show Sawangkaew is in good form (70% win rate in 10 matches) and has a strong tendency to win at least one set as an underdog. A tight match in two or three sets is expected.
Our Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Rebeka Masarova predictions
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Statistics from the last 10 non-Grand Slam matches show Sawangkaew finishes 80% of her matches in 2 sets, and Masarova 40%. Combined with Masarova's odds (1.59) suggesting a likely but not overwhelming win, and Sawangkaew's tendency to win sets (60% as underdog), a match in two sets (2-0 or 2-1 victory) is the most likely scenario.
1.5
Confidence
High
Victory for Rebeka Masarova
Masarova is designated as the favorite by bookmakers (odds 1.59). Her experience and status are higher than Sawangkaew's. Her statistics as a favorite (60% win rate) are solid, and she faces a player who, although in form, has a lower win rate (30%) as an underdog. The logic of the odds and the presumed gap in level favor her.
1.55
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 games in the match
Although a match in two sets is likely, the expected resistance from Sawangkaew (60% chance of winning a set as underdog) and Masarova's tendency to lose a set as favorite (60%) can lead to tight sets. A 2-0 scenario with sets of 6-4, 7-5 (21 games) or a three-set match would easily exceed this limit. The threshold of 22.5 games is achievable.
2.2
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Rebeka Masarova
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Rebeka Masarova Statistics
Win
Win | Lose | 7 3 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 60% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 60% | 60% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 80% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 75% | 40% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 60% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 33% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 60% | 60% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 100% |
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