Rugby

Tennis

Tristan Schoolkate - Elias Ymer: our prediction

04/03/2026•00:35

#82

Tristan Schoolkate

2:0

6•4

3•1

Finished

#55

Elias Ymer

Tristan Schoolkate vs Elias Ymer Preview — BNP Paribas Open, Qualification

Tristan Schoolkate, the bookmakers' favorite, faces Elias Ymer in the Indian Wells qualifiers. Schoolkate shows solid form as a favorite (70% wins) and a tendency to finish in two sets (60%). Ymer, an experienced underdog, is dangerous and often wins a set (80% as an outsider). No injuries reported. A tight match is expected, with a slight preference for the favorite.

Our Tristan Schoolkate vs Elias Ymer predictions

Tristan Schoolkate to win

Schoolkate is the designated favorite (odds 1.64). His statistics as a favorite are solid (70% wins in his last 10 matches in this role). He also has a good tendency to win matches in two sets (60% as a favorite), indicating some dominance. Against Ymer, who struggles as a favorite (40% losses), the odds logic and recent form are in his favor.

1.58

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 sets in the match

Elias Ymer has a high probability of winning at least one set as an underdog (80%). Conversely, Tristan Schoolkate, although the favorite, loses at least one set 40% of the time in this role. Ymer's statistics as an outsider also show that 70% of his matches go to three sets. This combination strongly suggests a long match.

2.25

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 games in the match

Predicting a three-set match (Over 2.5 sets) mathematically increases the chances of exceeding the 22.5 games threshold. A tight two-set match (e.g., 7-6, 7-5) totals 25 games. A three-set match, even with uneven sets, easily surpasses this threshold. Given the high probability of three sets, the Over 22.5 games bet is a consistent complementary wager.

1.8

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Tristan Schoolkate vs Elias Ymer

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Tristan Schoolkate vs Elias Ymer Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Tristan Schoolkate	Elias Ymer
Win \| Lose	6 4	6 4
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	25%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	75%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	37%	25%
% of match in 4 sets or more	62%	75%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	60%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	50%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	60%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	10%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	25%	100%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	80%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	83%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	25%	100%