Rugby

Tennis

Keegan Smith - Matteo Martineau: our prediction

09/03/2026•17:00

#177

Keegan Smith

1:2

6•3

6•7

2•6

Finished

#186

Matteo Martineau

Keegan Smith vs Matteo Martineau Preview — Cherbourg

Keegan Smith, the betting favorite, faces Matteo Martineau in Cherbourg. Recent statistics show similar form, with Smith being slightly more victorious. No injuries reported. The match is expected to be tight, with a significant probability of being decided in two sets.

Our Keegan Smith vs Matteo Martineau predictions

Keegan Smith to Win

Smith is the clear favorite (odds 1.53). His recent win statistics (50%) are slightly better than Martineau's (40%). As a favorite, his win rate is 60%. No injuries compromise his status.

1.69

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 Sets

Both players have a 70% rate of matches ending in 2 sets in their last 10 non-Grand Slam matches. The probability of a 3-set match is only 30% for each. Historical data strongly favors a match in two sets.

1.58

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 Games

With a high probability of a match in two sets (70% for each player), the total number of games tends to be lower. If a player wins 6-4, 6-4, that's 20 games. Even with a tight set, the total often remains under 22.5.

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Keegan Smith vs Matteo Martineau

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Keegan Smith vs Matteo Martineau Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Keegan Smith	Matteo Martineau
Win \| Lose	5 5	4 6
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	60%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	25%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	40%	83%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	40%	75%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	20%	33%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	80%	75%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	20%	33%