Rugby

Tennis

Alina Charaeva - Lia Karatancheva: our prediction

11/03/2026•08:35

#117

Alina Charaeva

2:0

6•2

6•4

Finished

#174

Lia Karatancheva

Alina Charaeva vs Lia Karatancheva Preview — Antalya 3

WTA qualifying match in Antalya between Alina Charaeva, the clear favorite (odds 1.24), and Lia Karatancheva. Charaeva shows solid form and an excellent win rate as a favorite (90%). Karatancheva, the underdog, struggles to confirm her favorite status (33% wins). No known injury alerts. The match should be dominated by the favorite.

Our Alina Charaeva vs Lia Karatancheva predictions

Victory for Alina Charaeva

Charaeva is the clear favorite (odds 1.24). Her statistics are superior: 90% win rate as favorite (9/10), compared to only 33% for Karatancheva. Over the last 10 matches, her record is 5W/5L, while Karatancheva is at 2W/8L. The difference in level and confidence is significant.

1.25

Confidence

Very high

Under 2.5 sets (Match in 2 sets)

Charaeva finishes 80% of her matches (non-Grand Slam) in 2 sets. As a favorite, this rate is 70%. Karatancheva, on the other hand, loses 80% of her matches and wins only 20% of her recent matches. The probability of a match in 2 sets, with a clear victory for Charaeva, is high.

1.4

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 games in the match

With a probable victory for Charaeva in 2 sets, the total number of games should be contained. If Charaeva dominates as expected (e.g., 6-3, 6-4 = 19 games), the total will remain below the 22.5 threshold. Karatancheva's defensive form (80% losses) may limit her resistance.

1.42

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Alina Charaeva vs Lia Karatancheva

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Alina Charaeva vs Lia Karatancheva Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Alina Charaeva	Lia Karatancheva
Win \| Lose	5 5	2 8
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	90%	33%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	0%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	100%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	20%	0%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	33%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	20%	0%