Rugby

Tennis

Petr Nesterov - Maxim Mrva: our prediction

13/03/2026•09:40

#264

Petr Nesterov

0:2

3•6

Finished

#312

Maxim Mrva

Petr Nesterov vs Maxim Mrva Preview — Hersonissos 2

Hard court qualification match between Petr Nesterov and Maxim Mrva. Mrva is the bookmakers' favorite (odds 1.69) and shows slightly better form (60% wins in the last 10 matches vs 40% for Nesterov). Statistics suggest a tight match with a high probability of over 2.5 sets.

Our Petr Nesterov vs Maxim Mrva predictions

Over 2.5 sets in the match

Statistics from the last 10 non-Grand Slam matches show Nesterov plays 30% of his matches in 3 sets and Mrva 50%. Furthermore, when Mrva is the favorite (as here), he loses at least one set in 90% of cases (9/10). Nesterov, as the underdog, wins at least one set in 60% of cases. This data converges towards a 3-set match.

2.38

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 games in the match

This bet is consistent with the over 2.5 sets prediction. A 3-set match (e.g., 6-4, 4-6, 6-4) totals 30 games. Even a tight 2-set match (7-6, 7-5) reaches 25 games. The high probability of a 3-set match or tight sets supports this bet. The odds of 2.05 offer good value.

Confidence

Medium

Victory for Maxim Mrva

Mrva is the designated favorite (odds 1.69) with superior recent form (6W/4L vs 4W/6L for Nesterov). He has a good win rate as a favorite (60% overall, 100% when his odds are between 1.21 and 1.5). However, his tendency to lose sets (90% of the time as a favorite) makes this bet risky for a straight-sets victory, hence medium confidence.

1.67

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Petr Nesterov vs Maxim Mrva

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Petr Nesterov vs Maxim Mrva Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Petr Nesterov	Maxim Mrva
Win \| Lose	4 6	6 4
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	75%	60%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	33%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	40%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	70%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	66%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	60%