Rugby

Tennis

Magda Linette - Varvara Gracheva: our prediction

17/03/2026•19:00

#24

Magda Linette

2:1

2•6

6•2

6•0

Finished

#43

Varvara Gracheva

Magda Linette vs Varvara Gracheva Preview — Miami Open

Magda Linette, the designated favorite, faces Varvara Gracheva at the Miami Open. Recent statistics show solid form from Gracheva (70% win rate in last 10 matches) compared to 50% for Linette. Linette is however the favorite in the odds (1.64). Historical data suggests a tight match, with a high probability of over 2.5 sets.

Our Magda Linette vs Varvara Gracheva predictions

Over 2.5 sets in the match

Statistics from the last 10 non-Grand Slam matches show Linette has 50% of matches going to 3 sets and Gracheva 30%. Furthermore, when favored, Linette loses at least one set in 60% of cases, and Gracheva in 50%. The odds of 1.64 for over 2.5 sets are attractive given these trends.

2.4

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 games in the match

The prediction of a 3-set match (over 2.5 sets) significantly increases the probability of exceeding 22.5 total games. A tight 2-set match (e.g., 7-6, 7-5) reaches 24 games. A 3-set match, even with one-sided sets, generally surpasses this mark. Consistency with the 'over 2.5 sets' bet is total.

2.14

Confidence

Medium

Victory for Varvara Gracheva

Gracheva displays superior recent form (70% win rate in 10 matches vs 50% for Linette). Her win rate as a favorite is very high (90%). Although designated the outsider here, her odds of 2.19 offer value. No injury information was found for either player.

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Magda Linette vs Varvara Gracheva

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Magda Linette vs Varvara Gracheva Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Magda Linette	Varvara Gracheva
Win \| Lose	5 5	7 3
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	90%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	75%	83%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	33%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	66%