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Ivan Gakhov - Christoph Negritu: our prediction

17/03/2026•16:45

#37

Ivan Gakhov

0:2

1•6

2•6

Finished

#159

Christoph Negritu

Ivan Gakhov vs Christoph Negritu Preview — Murcia

Ivan Gakhov, the favorite (odds 1.59), faces Christoph Negritu (odds 2.20) in a Challenger tournament in Murcia. Gakhov has slightly better form (60% wins in the last 10 matches vs 50% for Negritu). Statistics show a tendency for three-set matches for both players, especially when Gakhov is the favorite (70% of his matches as favorite go to 3 sets). No injury alerts are reported.

Our Ivan Gakhov vs Christoph Negritu predictions

Ivan Gakhov to Win

Gakhov is the designated favorite (odds 1.59) and shows better recent form (60% wins vs 50%). His 'victoir_fav_g' statistic of 60% shows his ability to handle the favorite role. Negritu, although solid (80% wins as favorite), is the underdog here. The level gap and odds justify this prediction.

1.62

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 Games in the Match

The prediction of a three-set match (Over 2.5 sets) significantly increases the probability of exceeding the 22.5 games mark. A two-set match with tight sets (e.g., 7-6, 7-5) totals 25 games. A three-set match often exceeds this limit, even with non-close sets (e.g., 6-4, 4-6, 6-3 = 29 games). Given the tendency for three sets and expected competitiveness, Over 22.5 games is a logical complementary bet.

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Ivan Gakhov vs Christoph Negritu

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Ivan Gakhov vs Christoph Negritu Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Ivan Gakhov	Christoph Negritu
Win \| Lose	6 4	5 5
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	80%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	50%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	62%	100%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	40%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	100%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	70%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	80%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	100%