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Daniel Rincon - Maxim Mrva: our prediction

24/03/2026•15:50

#201

Daniel Rincon

0:2

4•6

Finished

#317

Maxim Mrva

Daniel Rincon vs Maxim Mrva Preview — Split

Daniel Rincon faces Maxim Mrva in an ATP match in Split. Mrva is the favorite with odds of 1.73 against 2 for Rincon. Recent statistics show Mrva has stronger form (70% wins in last 10 matches) and better performance as a favorite. Rincon, on the other hand, struggles as an underdog. No injuries reported. The match should be tight, with a tendency for two-set matches.

Our Daniel Rincon vs Maxim Mrva predictions

Maxim Mrva to Win

Maxim Mrva is favorite with odds of 1.73. In the last 10 matches, he has a win rate of 70% against 30% for Rincon. Mrva also has better performance as a favorite (70% wins) and more solid recent form. Rincon struggles as an underdog (20% wins). No injuries reported. Mrva's victory is likely.

1.73

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 Sets

Statistics show a strong trend for two-set matches. Rincon has 90% of his matches (outside Grand Slam) ending in two sets, and Mrva 60%. Moreover, when Mrva is favorite, he wins 60% of his matches in two sets. Rincon, as underdog, loses 100% of his matches in two sets. This indicates a high probability of a two-set match.

1.53

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 Games

With a high probability of a two-set match, the total number of games should be limited. Statistics of quick sets (Rincon 90% matches in two sets, Mrva 60%) suggest sets could be relatively one-sided, reducing the number of games. However, the lack of precise data on games per set makes this prediction less certain.

1.7

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Daniel Rincon vs Maxim Mrva

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Daniel Rincon vs Maxim Mrva Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Daniel Rincon	Maxim Mrva
Win \| Lose	3 7	7 3
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	75%	57%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	28%	25%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	25%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	42%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	50%