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Lucija Bagaric - Mia Ristic: our prediction

24/03/2026•11:05

#208

Lucija Bagaric

0:2

1•6

Finished

#264

Mia Ristic

Lucija Bagaric vs Mia Ristic Preview — Dubrovnik

Mia Ristic is the clear favorite (odds 1.29) against Lucija Bagaric (odds 3.34). Recent form statistics and performance as a favorite support Ristic, although Bagaric has shown an ability to win sets as an underdog. The match takes place in Dubrovnik and is not a Grand Slam, making a two-set match likely.

Our Lucija Bagaric vs Mia Ristic predictions

Mia Ristic to Win

Mia Ristic is the designated favorite with a low odds of 1.29. Her statistics as a favorite are solid (57.1% win rate in her last 7 matches as favorite). She shows better recent form (5 wins out of 10) than Bagaric (3/10). In a non-Grand Slam match, 70% of her matches end in 2 sets, aligning with her favorite profile.

1.3

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 Sets

This is not a Grand Slam match. Both players have a 70% rate of matches ending in 2 sets in their last 10 non-Grand Slam matches. As the favorite, Ristic finishes 57.1% of her matches in 2 sets. Bagaric, as the underdog, finishes 60% of her matches in 2 sets. The probability of a two-set match (2-0 or 2-1 victory) is therefore high.

1.39

Confidence

High

Market signals on Lucija Bagaric vs Mia Ristic

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Lucija Bagaric vs Mia Ristic Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Lucija Bagaric	Mia Ristic
Win \| Lose	3 7	5 5
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	100%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	100%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	57%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	62%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	40%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	100%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	100%