Beibit Zhukayev - Quinn Vandecasteele: our prediction
24/03/2026•18:10

#109

Beibit Zhukayev
0:2
1•6
6•7
Finished

#296

Quinn Vandecasteele
-
1
-
X
-
2
Beibit Zhukayev vs Quinn Vandecasteele Preview — Morelia
Beibit Zhukayev faces Quinn Vandecasteele in an ATP match in Morelia. Both players show similar recent form with 40% wins in their last 10 matches. Vandecasteele shows a strong tendency to win matches in 2 sets (100% outside Grand Slams), while Zhukayev has a more balanced profile. No injuries reported.
Our Beibit Zhukayev vs Quinn Vandecasteele predictions
Under 2.5 sets
Vandecasteele has won 100% of his last 10 matches outside Grand Slams in 2 sets. Zhukayev, on the other hand, has won 70% of his matches as favorite in 2 sets. The probability of a 2-set match is very high.
1.55
Confidence
Very high
Quinn Vandecasteele to win
Although overall win statistics are identical (40%), Vandecasteele shows a 60% win rate as favorite compared to 40% for Zhukayev. His ability to finish quickly (100% of matches in 2 sets) and his recent consistency make him the logical favorite.
2.22
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games
The high probability of a 2-set match (under 2.5 sets) suggests a potentially lower total number of games under 22.5. If Vandecasteele dominates as expected, tight but conclusive sets could keep the total low.
1.84
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Beibit Zhukayev vs Quinn Vandecasteele
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Beibit Zhukayev vs Quinn Vandecasteele Statistics
Win
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 4 6 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 100% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 100% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 60% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 25% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 14% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 57% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 0% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 75% | 50% |
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