Fajing Sun - Yasutaka Uchiyama: our prediction
27/03/2026•05:10

#237

Fajing Sun
0:2
1•6
2•6
Finished

#30

Yasutaka Uchiyama
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1
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X
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2
Fajing Sun vs Yasutaka Uchiyama Preview — Yokkaichi
First-round match in Yokkaichi between Chinese player Fajing Sun and Japanese player Yasutaka Uchiyama. Uchiyama is the clear bookmakers' favorite, with odds at 1.48 against 2.49 for Sun. Recent form statistics (70% wins for Uchiyama in the last 10 matches) and his efficiency as a favorite (70%) confirm this status. Sun, struggling (40% wins), will need to deliver a solid performance to create an upset.
Our Fajing Sun vs Yasutaka Uchiyama predictions
Victory for Yasutaka Uchiyama
Uchiyama is the legitimate favorite (odds 1.48). His recent form is superior (7W/3L vs 4W/6L for Sun). He wins 70% of his matches as a favorite, compared to only 50% for Sun. No known injury alert contradicts this dynamic.
1.44
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 games in the match
Even if Uchiyama can win in 2 sets, Sun has shown an ability to win at least one set in 60% of his matches as an outsider. Furthermore, Uchiyama loses at least one set in 50% of his matches as a favorite. This suggests potentially tight sets, which could exceed the 22.5 game threshold, especially if the match goes to 3 sets.
1.96
Confidence
Medium
Under 2.5 sets (Match in 2 sets)
When he is the favorite (odds between 1.21 and 1.5), Uchiyama finishes 83.3% of his matches in 2 sets. Sun, struggling, has lost 60% of his recent matches. The probability of a short match is reinforced by the apparent level difference.
1.51
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Fajing Sun vs Yasutaka Uchiyama
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Fajing Sun vs Yasutaka Uchiyama Statistics
Win
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 7 3 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 28% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 71% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 33% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 66% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 80% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 83% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 75% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 20% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 62% | 50% |
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