Rugby

Tennis

Jesper de Jong - Fajing Sun: our prediction

18/05/2026•10:10

#109

Jesper de Jong

2:0

7•6

Finished

#224

Fajing Sun

Jesper de Jong vs Fajing Sun Preview — Roland Garros, Qualification ATP

Jesper de Jong, favorite with odds of 1.08, faces Fajing Sun (odds 7.24) in the first round of Roland Garros qualifying. De Jong has a 40% win rate in his last 10 matches, but shines as a favorite with 100% wins in the 1.0-1.2 odds category. Sun, despite being an underdog, has an 80% win rate in his last 10 matches and has won 50% of his matches as an underdog. The match is played on clay, De Jong's preferred surface.

Our Jesper de Jong vs Fajing Sun predictions

Victory for Jesper de Jong

Jesper de Jong is the heavy favorite with odds of 1.08, and he has a perfect win rate (100%) when favored with odds between 1.0 and 1.2. Additionally, Sun has a low win rate as an underdog (50%) and has never beaten a player as highly ranked. The clay surface favors De Jong.

1.07

Confidence

Very high

Under 2.5 sets in the match

De Jong is an overwhelming favorite and should win in straight 2 sets. Sun has a 70% win rate in 2 sets when favored, but as an underdog he tends to lose quickly. De Jong has 80% of his matches in 3 sets when favored, but that includes tougher opponents. Against an underdog like Sun, a 2-set sweep is very likely.

1.26

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 games in the match

Given the expected dominance of De Jong, the match should be relatively short. De Jong tends to win quickly when favored, and Sun struggles against higher-ranked opponents. The best-of-3 set format in qualifying limits the number of games.

1.08

Confidence

High

Market signals on Jesper de Jong vs Fajing Sun

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Jesper de Jong vs Fajing Sun Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Jesper de Jong	Fajing Sun
Win \| Lose	4 6	8 2
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	70%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	100%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	28%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	71%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	50%	80%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	66%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	10%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	60%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	70%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	100%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	80%	40%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	0%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	66%

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