Jesper de Jong - Fajing Sun: our prediction
18/05/2026•10:10
#109
Jesper de Jong
2:0
7•6
7•6
Finished
#224
Fajing Sun
-
1
-
X
-
2
Jesper de Jong vs Fajing Sun Preview — Roland Garros, Qualification ATP
Jesper de Jong, favorite with odds of 1.08, faces Fajing Sun (odds 7.24) in the first round of Roland Garros qualifying. De Jong has a 40% win rate in his last 10 matches, but shines as a favorite with 100% wins in the 1.0-1.2 odds category. Sun, despite being an underdog, has an 80% win rate in his last 10 matches and has won 50% of his matches as an underdog. The match is played on clay, De Jong's preferred surface.
Our Jesper de Jong vs Fajing Sun predictions
Victory for Jesper de Jong
Jesper de Jong is the heavy favorite with odds of 1.08, and he has a perfect win rate (100%) when favored with odds between 1.0 and 1.2. Additionally, Sun has a low win rate as an underdog (50%) and has never beaten a player as highly ranked. The clay surface favors De Jong.
1.07
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 sets in the match
De Jong is an overwhelming favorite and should win in straight 2 sets. Sun has a 70% win rate in 2 sets when favored, but as an underdog he tends to lose quickly. De Jong has 80% of his matches in 3 sets when favored, but that includes tougher opponents. Against an underdog like Sun, a 2-set sweep is very likely.
1.26
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
Given the expected dominance of De Jong, the match should be relatively short. De Jong tends to win quickly when favored, and Sun struggles against higher-ranked opponents. The best-of-3 set format in qualifying limits the number of games.
1.08
Confidence
High
Market signals on Jesper de Jong vs Fajing Sun
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Jesper de Jong vs Fajing Sun Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 8 2 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 20% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 70% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 100% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 28% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 71% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 66% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 10% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 60% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 70% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 100% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 66% |
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