Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg vs Tom Gentzsch — Prediction
28/03/2026•11:05
#258
Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg
0:2
5•7
4•6
Finished
#200
Tom Gentzsch
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg, slight favorite (odds 1.72), faces Tom Gentzsch (odds 1.98) in an ATP match in Split. Recent statistics show similar form, but Gueymard-Wayenburg has a better performance as a favorite at these odds. No known injury alerts.
Our predictions
Victory for Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg
Gueymard-Wayenburg is the designated favorite (odds 1.72). His statistics as a favorite (40% wins overall, 50% in the 1.21-1.5 range) are solid against Gentzsch who has a 90% win rate as a favorite but is the outsider here. Recent form is balanced (5W/5L vs 6W/4L), but the psychological and statistical advantage of the home favorite is present.
1.73
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 sets (Match in 2 sets)
Both players have a high rate of matches ending in 2 sets (70% each in the last 10 matches outside Majors). Gueymard-Wayenburg, as a favorite, finishes 80% of his matches in 2 sets. Gentzsch, as a favorite, does so in 60% of cases. The probability of a match in 2 sets is therefore high, supporting the 'under 2.5 sets' bet.
1.53
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
This bet is consistent with the prediction of a match in 2 sets. A match in 2 tight sets (e.g., 7-5, 6-4) totals 22 games. Given the statistics of close sets (both players often lose a set as favorites), a total games under 22.5 is plausible. However, if a set goes to a tie-break, the limit could be exceeded, hence a medium confidence level.
1.81
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 90% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 60% | 85% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 60% | 37% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 80% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 0% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 40% | 42% |
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