Colton Smith vs Thiago Agustin Tirante — Prediction
Match Preview
First-round match at the US Men's Clay Court Championships between American Colton Smith, the underdog, and Argentine Thiago Agustin Tirante, the favorite. Tirante, more experienced and with solid statistics as a favorite, faces Smith who struggles to win as an underdog. The match is played on clay, a surface that could favor Tirante's game. No injuries reported.
Our predictions
Thiago Agustin Tirante to Win
Tirante is clearly the favorite (odds 1.53). His statistics as a favorite are solid: 80% wins in his last 10 matches in that role. Smith wins only 10% of his matches as an underdog. Tirante's recent form (5W/5L) is slightly better than Smith's (6W/4L) over the period, but the favorite status and clay court experience tilt in his favor.
1.53
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 Games
Although a two-set win for Tirante is possible, his statistics indicate he often loses a set as a favorite (60%). Furthermore, Smith, as an underdog, wins at least one set 40% of the time. A match in three sets or tight sets in two sets (e.g., 7-5, 7-5) could easily exceed the 22.5 games threshold. The clay surface generally favors longer rallies.
1.89
Confidence
Medium
Under 2.5 Sets
Player statistics on matches in 2 sets (excluding Grand Slams) show that Smith wins 70% of his matches in 2 sets, and Tirante 50%. As a favorite, Tirante finishes his matches in 2 sets 50% of the time. Given the perceived level difference and Tirante's favorite status, a match in two sets (2-0) is a likely scenario, although Tirante also tends to lose a set as a favorite (60% of the time).
1.54
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 6 4 | 5 5 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 30% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 80% | 80% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 66% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 10% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 83% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 60% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 50% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 60% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 66% | 66% |
Betting actions
Manage your bets and alerts
TODAY'S OFFERS
Exclusive new customer offers