Mackenzie Mcdonald vs Jenson Brooksby — Prediction
31/03/2026•01:05
#40
Mackenzie McDonald
2:0
6•4
6•2
Finished
#41
Jenson Brooksby
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
First-round match at the US Men's Clay Court Championships between Mackenzie McDonald and Jenson Brooksby. Brooksby is the clear favorite with odds of 1.41 against 2.78 for McDonald. Recent statistics show a strong trend towards two-set matches for both players in non-Grand Slam tournaments, with very high percentages (80% for McDonald, 90% for Brooksby). No information on injuries or withdrawals was found for this match.
Our predictions
Under 2.5 sets
The data is extremely clear for a two-set match. Outside of Grand Slams, 90% of Brooksby's recent matches and 80% of McDonald's recent matches ended in 2 sets. The percentage of three-set matches is very low for both (10% for Brooksby, 20% for McDonald). As an outsider, McDonald wins a set in only 30% of cases. The probability of a three-set match is therefore minimal.
1.5
Confidence
Very high
Under 22.5 games
A two-set victory for Brooksby (favorite) is very likely according to the data: 90% of his recent non-Grand Slam matches ended in 2 sets. As a favorite, this rate is 70%. McDonald also has a high rate of two-set matches (80% overall, 70% as an outsider). A match in two sets, potentially with tight but not extreme sets (e.g., 6-4, 6-4 = 20 games), makes Under 22.5 very plausible.
1.76
Confidence
High
Jenson Brooksby to win
Brooksby is the designated favorite (odds 1.41). His statistics as a favorite are solid (70% win rate overall). In the odds category 1.21-1.5, he shows a 50% win rate (2/4). McDonald has a low win rate as an outsider (10% overall, 0% against favorites with odds 1.21-1.5). Recent form and contextual data support Brooksby's favorite status.
1.41
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 3 7 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 60% | 50% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 70% | 70% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 70% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 60% | 30% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 40% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 80% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 75% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 10% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 25% | 25% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 75% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 60% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 20% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 100% |
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