Jaime Faria vs Hugo Dellien — Prediction
28/03/2026•21:15
#59
Jaime Faria
2:0
6•4
6•1
Finished
#11
Hugo Dellien
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Promising young player Jaime Faria faces the experienced Hugo Dellien on clay in Sao Paulo. Dellien, the bookmakers' favorite, has solid experience on this surface. Recent statistics show two players in similar form, but the odds and favorite status suggest an advantage for the Bolivian. A tight three-set match is plausible.
Our predictions
Hugo Dellien to Win
Hugo Dellien is clearly marked as the favorite (odds at 1.74). His statistics as a favorite are solid (70% wins in the last 10 matches). His experience on clay, his preferred surface, against a less established player like Faria gives him a significant advantage. No injury alerts have been reported.
1.92
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 games in the match
The prediction of a three-set match (over 2.5 sets) naturally increases the probability of a high number of games. On clay, rallies are often longer. If the match goes to a third set, or if the sets are tight (e.g., 7-5, 6-4), the total games should easily exceed 22.5. This selection is consistent with the bet on the number of sets.
1.81
Confidence
Medium
Over 2.5 sets in the match
The players' statistics on 3-set matches (outside Majors) are balanced (Faria 50%, Dellien 40%). Furthermore, Dellien often loses a set as a favorite (50% in the last 10), and Faria often wins at least one set as an underdog (50%). This indicates a reasonable probability that Faria wins a set, leading to a three-set match.
2.29
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 6 4 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 28% | 60% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 71% | 40% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 100% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 28% | 60% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 71% | 40% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 42% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 60% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 20% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 66% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 75% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 66% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 80% |
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