Jiri Lehecka vs Jannik Sinner — Prediction
29/03/2026•22:45
#10
Jiri Lehecka
0:2
4•6
4•6
Finished
#1
Jannik Sinner
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Jannik Sinner, the undisputed favorite (odds 1.05), faces Jiri Lehecka (odds 10.51) at the Miami Open. Sinner displays impeccable form (10 wins in last 10 matches) and overwhelming statistical dominance, especially as a favorite. Lehecka, the underdog, shows an ability to win sets but appears vastly outmatched by Sinner's level on hard court.
Our predictions
Jannik Sinner to Win
Sinner is the absolute favorite with odds of 1.05. His statistics are overwhelming: 10 wins in his last 10 matches, 100% win rate as a favorite (10/10), and 100% of his non-Grand Slam matches ended in 2 sets. No injuries reported. Against Lehecka, who has a 30% win rate as an underdog, Sinner's victory seems very likely.
1.05
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 sets in the match
The match is at the Miami Open (non-Grand Slam). As a favorite, Sinner finished 100% (10/10) of his recent non-Grand Slam matches in 2 sets. Furthermore, as an underdog, Lehecka lost 80% (8/10) of his non-Grand Slam matches in 2 sets. The probability of a match in 2 sets (2-0 win for Sinner) is therefore very high, supporting the 'Under 2.5 sets' bet.
1.2
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
This bet is consistent with a quick 2-0 win for Sinner. If Sinner dominates as expected (e.g., 6-3, 6-4), the total games would be 19. Sinner's statistics as a favorite (0% set loss) and the expected low resistance from Lehecka (20% wins in 2 sets as an underdog outside Grand Slams) suggest a potentially short match. However, Lehecka won at least one set in 70% of his matches as an underdog, which introduces uncertainty about the exact score, hence medium confidence.
1.4
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 7 3 | 10 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 60% | 60% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 40% | 40% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 60% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 40% | 40% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 70% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 30% | 70% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 100% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 20% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 33% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 80% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 20% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 66% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 0% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 50% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 66% | 0% |
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