Carol Zhao vs Lia Karatancheva — Prediction
28/03/2026•23:35
#150
Carol Zhao
0:2
1•6
4•6
Finished
#155
Lia Karatancheva
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Carol Zhao faces Lia Karatancheva in the Copa Colsanitas qualifiers. Zhao, with more solid form (40% wins in the last 10 matches vs. 10% for Karatancheva) and better efficiency as a favorite, is the favorite. The match should be tight but short, with a high probability of ending in two sets.
Our predictions
Carol Zhao to win
Carol Zhao displays significantly better form (40% wins in the last 10 matches vs. 10% for Karatancheva). She is more efficient as a favorite (70% wins) and has a better overall win percentage. No injuries reported.
2.78
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 sets
Both players have a high rate of matches ending in 2 sets (70% each in the last 10 non-Grand Slam matches). Zhao, as the favorite, wins 70% of her matches in 2 sets as a favorite. Karatancheva, often the underdog, loses 90% of her matches, often in two sets. Statistically, a two-set match is very likely.
1.47
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games
With a high probability of a two-set match, the total number of games should be moderate. If Zhao dominates as expected, the sets could be relatively tight but not extremely long. Recent form statistics (Zhao 40% wins, Karatancheva 10% wins) suggest an advantage for Zhao, which could limit the total number of games.
1.8
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 1 9 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 100% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 100% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 33% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 75% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 0% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 100% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 25% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
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